The pattern is consistent:
📊 IG spreads: +2bp at 1 week post-shock
📊 IG spreads: -3bp at 1 month
📊 IG spreads: -7bp at 3 months
📊 IG spreads: -9bp at 6 months
Geopolitics is noise for credit. Until it isn't.
#CorporateBonds #CreditIG #JunkBond
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#Credit #CorporateBonds #JunkBond #HighYield
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Companies with weaker credit ratings tapped the HY-yield bond market for $32bn in May, the most since Oct, acc to data from @JPMorgan - #JunkBond sales in the 1st week of June already have surpassed April’s $8.6bn total.
A Financial Times chart showing that the primary markets for leveraged loans and high-yield bonds has frozen this month relative to April in the years 2021 through 2024.
“Uncertainty has frozen up America’s #junkbond #market. This isn’t an extinction level worry, like turmoil in $29 trillion #Treasury market. But this is a significant #recession #risk.” adamtooze.substack.com/p/top-links-...
Donald Trump’s “liberation day” #tariff blitz has sparked the biggest sell-off in the US #JunkBond market since 2020, signalling growing angst among investors that an economic slowdown will hit corporate America, chart @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/b3ad...
U.S. Junk bond spreads rose to 401 bps, highest since Nov 2023, as Trump’s tariff plan sparked trade war fears. Investment-grade spreads also hit 106 bps, showing rising investor caution.
#JunkBond #BondMarket #stockmarketcrash #TrumpTariffs
More 👇
1 Bloomberg: Since the election, a key measure of risk for US #investmentgrade #corporatebonds has fallen to its lowest level since 1998. In #junkbond land, the same metric is the lowest since 2007. And money is being poured into #fixedincome assets. 🧵
#markets #bonds