... relevant for a global economy in which each day of higher oil prices and interrupted energy supplies blows a stronger stagflationary wind—and, for some countries, threatens more adverse tipping points.
#economy #markets #middleeastwar #blockade

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🚨With the war in Iran costing US $US1 billion dollars a day & Americans fatigued by wars. 🤡Trump would probably reconsider his decision to set foot into this conflict if he had the chance to do it all over again... 🇺🇸 Americas editor John Lyons argues.
🇦🇺 #ABCNewsbreakfast #MiddleEastWar #DonaldTrump

…
The Global Economy: Companies, countries, and households worldwide are facing the burden of what is likely to be another leg up in the price of energy, helium, fertilizers, etc...
#economy #markets #middleeastwar #hormuz #blockade

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... impact of higher energy prices. It's also worth monitoring how close various economies are to actual energy shortages. The current risk distribution is as follows: Asia and most developing countries (high), Europe (medium to high), and the US (low).
#economy #oil #energy #markets #middleeastwar

... less control over outcomes (especially abroad).
Whatever your (realistically, multi-modal) distribution of economic outcomes was pre-War, it has shifted towards greater downside risk with a less favorable mean.
#economy #markets #middleeastwar

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The Weekly Look at the Global Economy and Markets The Context The War and the Economy A week that started with a historic threat from US President Donald Trump to Iran—“A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.”—ended wit...

From one fluid and uncertain week to the next:
Please find below the links to my weekly review of the global economy and markets, including the look-ahead.
www.linkedin.com/pulse/weekly...
mohamedelerian.substack.com/p/the-weekly...
#economy #markets #middleeastwar #growth #Inflation #centralbanks

Islamabad negotiations end without a deal – as it happened US vice-president says Iran chose not to accept American terms for a deal, including to not build nuclear weapons

u.s. V.P. JD Vance failed👎 in Pakistan🇵🇰.
Islamabad negotiations end without a deal in Middle East Conflict.
The strait of Hormuz remains among the main points of “serious disagreement,"
#VanceFailed
#NoDealVance
#MiddleEastWar
#StraitOfHormuz
#Wrldpoli🌐

www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

... the story is starkly different.
Rather than a rebound, households are dealing with high energy prices and plunging confidence.
#economy #inflation #growth #markets #middleeastwar

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This reporting from The Guardian gives us a feel for the growing pressures in Europe as energy prices remain high.
The situation is worse in some developing countries, where physical shortages are already occurring.

#economy #MiddleEastWar #oil #energy @theguardian.com

Lebanon Front Reignites as Ceasefire Ambiguity Deepens Regional Instability BEIRUT - The fragile diplomatic space created by the tentative U.S.-Iran ceasefire narrowed sharply as Israel intensified air operations across

ebanon’s renewed war front is rapidly becoming the central test of whether wider regional ceasefire diplomacy can survive proxy escalation and territorial confrontation.

#LebanonConflict #RegionalRisk #MiddleEastWar #SecurityDesk #GlobalAffairs

#middleeastwar #conflicts #ඉරාන #iranisraelwar #saipress

Lebanon: Health system overwhelmed following a ‘horrific’ day of Israeli strikes The scale and speed of destruction from the wave of airstrikes in Lebanon which began just hours after the US-Iran ceasefire announcement, has left the country’s already strained health system struggling to cope, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).

#Lebanon: Health system overwhelmed following a ‘horrific’ day of Israeli strikes

#Health system already buckling from years of crisis now faces impossible surge as #Israeli #airstrikes overwhelm hospitals already running on fumes

#middleeastwar

Markets remain incredibly sensitive to Middle East War headlines.
Case in point: the latest Israel-Lebanon headlinea erased 4 percentage points of today’s oil price gains (CNBC chart below). Even more significantly, they took 8 basis points off the 10-year UK gilt yield.
#markets #middleeastwar

...also highlight the dispersion among countries worldwide.
Particularly vulnerable economies are oil-importers with low energy reserves. They are dealing not only with higher prices but also with energy and food supply insecurity.
#economy #middleeastwar #energy #oil #growth #inflation #inequality

ඉරාන අනතුරු ඇඟවීම් හමුවේ ජීවිත බේරාගැනීම සඳහා ඊශ්‍රායල භූමියෙන් ඉවත් වන ඊශ්‍රායල ජාතිකයන් ද?

#middleeastwar #conflicts #ඉරාන #iranisraelwar #iranvsisrael

Further to this post from early this morning, WTI oil is currently trading back above $100 a barrel (CNBC quote below).

#economy #oil #markets #energy #middleeastwar

... placing pressure on markets and a global economy already feeling the war’s stagflationary winds.
(These are the immediate issues. A follow-up post will address more secular considerations.)
#economy #markets #middleeastwar

Israel is a sick country. Netanyahu cannot stop killing. What a psycho. Israel and the US must suffer consequences.

#MiddleEastWar
#Israel

The only journalist speaking clarity is John Lyons, who effectively said Trump is powerless to control #Israel and Netanyahu. #MiddleEastWar

MIDDLE EAST LIVE 8 April: US-Iran ceasefire announced; strikes continue in Lebanon After nearly 40 days of intense hostilities across the Middle East – marked by rising civilian casualties and widespread damage to critical infrastructure – a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran has been announced. While the UN Secretary-General has welcomed the move as a step toward a broader peace, reports of continued Israeli strikes and mass casualties across Lebanon underscore the fragility of the situation. Stay with us for live updates. App users can follow coverage here.

MIDDLE EAST LIVE 8 April: US-Iran ceasefire announced; strikes continue in Lebanon

US-Iran ceasefire leaves Lebanon's civilian death toll mounting as Israeli strikes continue unabated, exposing how partial agreements can mask ongoing devastation

#middleeastwar

How long did the ceasefire last? #middleeastwar

...others worried about the opposite.
Beyond the region, economies will continue to navigate energy prices that remain higher than pre-war levels, an uncertain outlook, and the economic implications stemming from the last six weeks of war.
#economy #markets #middleeastwar

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Iran Claims F-35 Shot Down: Was It an F-15E? Iran claims it shot down a US fighter jet and captured the crew. Was it an F-35 or F-15E Strike Eagle? See what debris evidence reveals. Full breakdown here.

Iran Claims F-35 Shot Down: Was It an F-15E?
Iran claims it shot down a US fighter jet and captured the crew. Was it an F-35 or F-15E Strike Eagle? See what debris evidence reveals. Full brea...

#F15E #IranUSConflict #MiddleEastWar #IRGC #GulfConflict
https://scrollworthy.org/trending/f35-shot-down

MIDDLE EAST LIVE 7 April: Conflict continues as humanitarian and economic pressures mount Hostilities continue across the Middle East, with ongoing strikes, rising civilian impacts and mounting pressure on critical infrastructure and humanitarian services. Attention is also turning to New York, where the Security Council is expected to vote on a Bahrain-led draft resolution concerning the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, displacement remains high, aid access is constrained, and economic and security impacts continue to ripple far beyond the region. Stay with us for live updates from across the UN system. App users can follow coverage here.

MIDDLE EAST LIVE 7 April: Conflict continues as humanitarian and economic pressures mount

UN human rights chief deplores ‘tirade of incendiary rhetoric’ from all combatants, calls #Trump threat to annihilate Iranian civilisation ‘sickening’

#middleeastwar

Shocked but not surprised.

We’ve seen this pattern throughout his presidency, yet these words remain chilling.

How many times must we endure this cycle of disbelief?

Enough already. Stop the craziness!

#MiddleEastWar #StraitOfHormuz #IranConflict #USForeignPolicy #NoWarWithIran

Trump says a 'whole civilization will die tonight' as deadline for Iran to reopen Strait of Hormuz looms | CBC

#IranIsraelWar #USIranConflict #MiddleEastWar #StraitOfHormuz #IranIsraelWar #USIran #MiddleEastWar #IRGCMissileStrike #StraitOfHormuz #Drone
#IranRegimeChange #NuclearDeal #Geopolitics #USIranWar #IranIsraelWar #StraitOfHormuz
www.youtube.com/watch?v=zgbi...
www.cbc.ca/news/world/l...

Iran defies Trump's looming deadline U.S. President Donald Trump threatened that "a whole civilization will die tonight" as Iran showed no sign of accepting his ultimatum to open the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday evening, Washington ​time.

#USIranConflict #MiddleEastWar #StraitOfHormuz #IranIsraelWar #USIran #MiddleEastWar #IRGCMissileStrike, #Drone #DonaldTrump #IranRegimeChange #NuclearDeal #WarUpdates #Geopolitics #USIranWar #IranIsraelWar #StraitOfHormuz
www.youtube.com/watch?v=zgbi...
www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...

...US and Israel have increased the threat to wipe out Iran’s civilian infrastructure, Tehran remains defiant with its own counter-threats.
Ironically, this volatility could prove to be modest depending on what transpires in 12 hours.
#economy #markets #energy #oil #middleeastwar

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"Fewer experts see climate change as global security threat, survey finds" - trump post

When the Persian Gulf is about to go up in TRUMP-flames........

#MiddleEastWar #Fire&Brimstone

… "Phase Three" of the escalating economic fallout from the Middle East conflict, when it's both a broadening price and a deepening growth issue.
#economy #oil #energy #asia #middleeastwar #markets