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Nonfarm Payroll Employment: Revisions between over-the-month estimates, 1979-present

#nonfarm #jobsreport
www.bls.gov/web/empsit/c...

there's the initial report (1st over-the-month-change) + revision 1 (2nd) + final reported (3rd).

today's +178k nonfarm payrolls is the initial report.

Jan26 final +160k vs initial +130k
Dec25 final -17k vs initial +50k

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The Week Ahead: #Nonfarm #Payrolls, #Oil Prices, And Fed Policy — What Investors Are Watching

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Key Events This Week:

- Market Futures Open, #US #Israel #Iran War Day 30 - Today 6 PM ET
- #Fed Chair #Powell Speaks - Mon
-March Consumer Confidence data - Tue
-Feb #JOLTS Job Openings data - Tue
- ADP #Nonfarm Employment data -Wed
- #Retail Sales data -Wed
- #Jobs Report -Fri

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Here (green line) is change since last year - just positive but compare to normal levels. Who has been in charge for a year? #ETTD #EconSky #Nonfarm @justinwolfers.bsky.social

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Weak #nonfarm sent #stocks tumbling, #gold #silver up #goldstocks largely unchanged. #USDX rose then fell bond yields steady. #War continues with the #Straits #Hormuz effectively blocked #oil prices leaped with #Brent near 90. Add in supply disruptions and #inflation should rise.

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#US DECEMBER #NONFARM PAYROLLS +50,000 (CONSENSUS +60,000) VS NOVEMBER +56,000 (PREV +64,000), OCTOBER -173,000 (PREV -105,000)

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🚨 Jobs Report SHOCK Coming? Non-Farm Payrolls Could Flip Markets | Martyn Lucas Investor
🚨 Jobs Report SHOCK Coming? Non-Farm Payrolls Could Flip Markets | Martyn Lucas Investor YouTube video by Martyn Lucas Investor

🚨 Jobs Report SHOCK Coming?
Non-Farm Payrolls Could Flip Markets

LIVE Now on YouTube

www.youtube.com/watch?v=5y1y...

#Rates #JOBS #NonFARM #MartynLucasINVESTOR

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Key Events This Week:

-Markets React to #Venezuela Situation - Mon
-December #ISM Manufacturing #PMI data- Tue
-December ADP #Nonfarm Employment data - Wed
-November #JOLTS Job Openings data - Wed
-December #Jobs Report - Fri
-January MI Consumer Sentiment data - Fri

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ECONOMIC DATA THIS WEEK:

#ISM MANUFACTURING #PMI (MON.)
ADP #NONFARM PAYROLLS (WED.)
ISM SERVICES (WED.)
#JOLTS JOB OPENINGS (WED.)
FACTORY ORDERS (WED.)
#JOBLESS CLAIMS (THURS.)
NONFARM PAYROLLS (FRI.)
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (FRI.)
CONSUMER SENTIMENT (FRI.)

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#Breaking: #US #Nonfarm Payrolls Actual 64k (Forecast 50k, Previous 119k)

#Unemployment Rate Actual 4.6% (Forecast 4.5%, Previous 4.4%)

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#US Oct #Nonfarm Payrolls -105,000.

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⚠️ #BREAKING

#US NOVEMBER #ADP #NONFARM PAYROLLS FALL -32,000; EST. +5,000; PREV. +47,000

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The change in total #nonfarm #payroll employment for July was #revised down by 7,000, from +79,000 to
+72,000, and the change for August was revised down by 26,000, from +22,000 to -4,000. With these
revisions, employment in July and August combined is 33,000 lower than previously reported.

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#Breaking

#US OCTOBER #NONFARM #PAYROLLS REPORT MISSED AGAIN AS #GOVERNMENT #SHUTDOWN HALTS LABOR DEPT. RELEASE

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Screenshot of the BLS CES showing the date of the next release.

Screenshot of the BLS CES showing the date of the next release.

Time to rename Current Employment Statistics to Stale Employment Statistics

Next? By the standard laws of how time works, that date is in the past.

#finance

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#US SEPTEMBER #NONFARM PAYROLLS DUE 8:30 A.M. ET DELAYED DUE TO GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN

The Bureau of Labor Statistics said it won't release or collect any economic data during a #government #shutdown.

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Key Economic Events This Week:

- Aug. #JOLTS #Job Openings data - Tue
-CB #Consumer Confidence data - Tue
-Sept. ADP #Nonfarm Employment data - Wed
-Sept. #ISM Manufacturing #PMI data - Wed
-Initial #Jobless Claims data - Thur
-Sept. Jobs Report - Fri

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#Breaking

August #Nonfarm Payrolls rise 22,000, below expectations for 75,000.

The #US Unemployment Rate rises from 4.2% to 4.3%, in line with estimates.

What will the #Fed do now?

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Watch CNN with Jake Tapper to hear labor markets expert Diane Swonk at KPMG explain what's behind the weak jobs report for August. #nonfarm #payrolls

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#BREAKING

#US Change in #Nonfarm Payrolls Aug: 22K (est 75K; prev 73K)

- Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (est 4.3%; prev 4.2%)

- Avg Hourly Earnings (M/M): 0.3% (est 0.3%; prev 0.3%)
- Avg Hourly Earnings (Y/Y): 3.7% (est 3.8%; prev 3.9%)

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#US Change in Private Payrolls Jul: 38K (est 75K; prev 83K; prevR 77K)
- Change in Manufacturing Payrolls: -12K (est -5K; prev -11K; prevR -2K)
- Change In Government Payrolls: -16K (prev -10K)
- #Nonfarm Payrolls 3-Month Avg Change: 29K (prev 35K)

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Cracks in the labor market are deepening, said Diane Swonk chief economist of KPMG US. #nonfarm #payrolls

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Cracks in the labor market are deepening, said Diane Swonk chief economist of KPMG US. #nonfarm #payrolls

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2 … #nonfarm #payrolls on Friday could come in lower than the 90,000 expected by the consensus
#NFP #jobs #jobdata #employment #usecon

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Markets remain cautious ahead of the U.S. #Nonfarm Payrolls report, due at 4:30 PM UAE time. Financial assets are under pressure as tariff concerns and Fed hawkishness weigh on sentiment. The Japanese #yen continues to weaken, reflecting policy divergence.

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#ADP #payrolls June: -33k
#Nonfarm payrolls June: +147k

Apparently, the government hired 100k teachers in June in the Nonfarm Payrolls report.
🤨🤨🤨🤨

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Given better than expected #nonfarm payrolls and #unemployment #stockmarket rose and #gold sold off. #Goldstocks hanging in. This continues to set up belief that #golds bottom should come around mid-month. Despite the pullbacks overall #gold is acting well but 3500 is elusive.

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Preview
Gold Takes A Breather Ahead Of The Key Nonfarm Payroll Employment Report On Thursday Gold (XAU/USD) price is trading in a tight range as traders digest Wednesday’s Automatic Data Processing (ADP) employment data and look ahead to Thursday's Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report.

#Gold Takes A Breather Ahead Of The Key #Nonfarm Payroll #Employment Report On Thursday

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#ADP #employment was -33K when they expected +95K. Where does this leave the #nonfarm #payrolls TM where they are expecting a gain of 100K and #unemployment to go to 4.3%? We await TM. #Markets await with #gold up small and still needs to take 3500 to convince low is in.

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#Nonfarm #payrolls #unemployment were out and #nonfarm was a bit higher than expected and #unemployment unchanged. Overall report was marginally weaker. #Stocks up #bondyields up #USDX down #gold up a bit but #goldstocks off a bit. So far #gold 3200 holding.

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