Tariff chaos off the charts, SCOTUS kills old IEEPA, Trump fires 15% global surcharge. Gold >5200, yields down, dollar weak. Skinny legs season.
#MacroRisk #Liquidity #TariffTurmoil

Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slide as Trump's latest tariff salvo reverberates through markets

US Stocks Plummet!
Dow, $SPY, Nasdaq slide on Trump's latest tariff shock, SCOTUS ruling overshadowed
#TariffTurmoil #StockMarket #TrumpTradeWar

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《3/6》Is This Chaos the New Normal in Trump’s White House?

#Trump2Chaos #SusieWiles #DeepStateDisruptors #ICEDeportations #TariffTurmoil #NationalGuardDeploy #RFKJrHHS #PeteHegsethDefense #WhiteHouseDiary #VanityFairTrump

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《3/6》Is This Chaos the New Normal in Trump’s White House?

#Trump2Chaos #SusieWiles #DeepStateDisruptors #ICEDeportations #TariffTurmoil #NationalGuardDeploy #RFKJrHHS #PeteHegsethDefense #WhiteHouseDiary #VanityFairTrump

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《3/6》Is This Chaos the New Normal in Trump’s White House?

#Trump2Chaos #SusieWiles #DeepStateDisruptors #ICEDeportations #TariffTurmoil #NationalGuardDeploy #RFKJrHHS #PeteHegsethDefense #WhiteHouseDiary #VanityFairTrump

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《3/6》Is This Chaos the New Normal in Trump’s White House?

#Trump2Chaos #SusieWiles #DeepStateDisruptors #ICEDeportations #TariffTurmoil #NationalGuardDeploy #RFKJrHHS #PeteHegsethDefense #WhiteHouseDiary #VanityFairTrump

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Tariff Turmoil Continues, But Eye On China, US-India Sign 10 Year Defense Pact - IndiaWest News Tariff Turmoil Continues, But Eye On China, US-India Sign 10 Year Defense Pact.

Tariff Turmoil Continues, But Eye On China, US-India Sign 10 Year Defense Pact

Full Story: indiawest.com/tariff-turmo...

#TariffTurmoil #ChinaEye #USIndiaDefensePact #StrategicPartnership #DefenseCooperation #TradeTensions

Here is the growing list of countries choosing to pause mail deliveries to the U.S. because of Trump's tariff turmoil. Am I missing any?
#ChaosMonster #TariffTurmoil

Very informative! Basically, Orange Cheeto does *not* know what he's doing. Causing so much harm to this economy. Companies will only absorb *so* much cost. We will pay and *are* already paying. I've really cut back. I'm a senior. Have to. #TariffTurmoil

Volatile Stocks Have Won Amid Tariff Turmoil—But Boring Can Be Beautiful Again - The Wall Street Journal Volatile Stocks Have Won Amid Tariff Turmoil—But Boring Can Be Beautiful Again  The Wall Street Journal

Click Subscribe #VolatileStocks #TariffTurmoil #StockMarket #InvestmentNews #FinancialAnalysis

ECB’s Nagel calls for ’steady hand’ amid tariff turmoil BERLIN (Reuters) -European Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel said that a "steady hand" was required to deal with the uncertainty unleashed by U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest tariff threat, in comments to business daily Handelsblatt. In terms of monetary policy, "politics with a steady hand" is currently required, Nagel said in the interview, which the German newspaper published late on Tuesday. The effect on prices of both the geopolitical environment and the trade conflict with the United States was "extremely uncertain", he added. Five ECB policymakers told Reuters that Trump’s threatened 30% tariff on EU imports is complicating the central bank’s decision-making but is unlikely to derail that plan. With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Sure, there are always opportunities in the stock market – but finding them feels more difficult now than a year ago. Unsure where to invest next? One of the best ways to discover new high-potential opportunities is to look at the top performing portfolios this year. ProPicks AI offers 6 model portfolios from Investing.com which identify the best stocks for investors to buy right now. For example, ProPicks AI found 9 overlooked stocks that jumped over 25% this year alone. The new stocks that made the monthly cut could yield enormous returns in the coming years. Is ECBK one of them?

Click Subscribe. #ECB #Nagel #TariffTurmoil #Economy #Finance

Global banks predicted to get 10% trading revenue boost on tariff turmoil By Saeed Azhar NEW YORK (Reuters) -Global banks including top U.S. lenders are expected to report a 10% gain in markets revenue as traders cashed in on shifting U.S. tariff policies, according to estimates from analysis firm Crisil Coalition Greenwich. The projections follow a 15% gain in trading revenue in the first quarter for 12 global banks, the data showed. Bank of America and Citigroup (NYSE:C) executives said last month they expect markets revenue to climb by mid-to-high single digit percentages in the second quarter, following a strong first quarter. When U.S. banking giants report second quarter earnings next week, they could even beat those expectations, executives and analysts said. The gains come after U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements in April spurred volatility in stocks and drove volumes to a record in the U.S. Treasuries market, according to electronic trading platform Tradeweb Markets (NASDAQ:TW). "Anybody that’s in the market-making business, providing people with instantaneous liquidity, is going to benefit," said a senior Wall Street executive who declined to be identified discussing client activity. "Stocks went down, bonds went down, and the currency went down - your portfolio was just more risky, and we just saw derisking." Coalition bases its estimates on 12 global banks, including JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo, as well as European rivals. "Volatility is the friend of markets revenue," said Mollie Devine, head of markets competitor analytics at Coalition. Some of the tariff announcements were a "positive catalyst" for trading desks, she added. Equities performed better than fixed income and currencies, Devine added, even though stock markets are smaller than those for bonds or foreign exchange. She estimated equities revenues would gain 18% in the second quarter, while bonds would climb 5% compared with the previous year. PATH TO NORMAL Banks are seeing sustained levels of higher trading activities given volatility around tariffs, interest rates and geopolitics, said Mike Mayo, an analyst at Wells Fargo. "The higher trading in the last few years is not an aberration, but more a path back to normal after 15 years of zero percent interest rates," he said. Tradeweb Markets, which operates electronic marketplaces for rates, credit, equities and money markets, reported average daily volume of $2.7 trillion in April, up 38.6% from a year earlier. It posted a record $2.71 trillion average daily volume in March. Activity in U.S. government bonds on Tradeweb’s platform surged to a record in April, including the biggest weekly jump since 2001, as yields rose after U.S. President Trump’s initial tariff announcements stunned markets. Coalition forecast markets revenue would grow about 7% for banks in its index for 2025, compared to a 13% gain projected for the first half. The 2025 revenue projection of $246.2 billion is the best since 2009, the year after the onset of the global financial crisis, the data shows. Separately, Mayo at Wells Fargo predicted trading revenue would be up 8% in the first half for major U.S. banks, then slow to 5% in the second half and remain in low single-digit percentages next year. "The immediate effect of the tariffs was to exaggerate the extent of trading" and the effect of tariffs will recede as time passes, he said. With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Sure, there are always opportunities in the stock market – but finding them feels more difficult now than a year ago. Unsure where to invest next? One of the best ways to discover new high-potential opportunities is to look at the top performing portfolios this year. ProPicks AI offers 6 model portfolios from Investing.com which identify the best stocks for investors to buy right now. For example, ProPicks AI found 9 overlooked stocks that jumped over 25% this year alone. The new stocks that made the monthly cut could yield enormous returns in the coming years. Is C one of them?

Click Subscribe. #GlobalBanks #TradingRevenue #TariffTurmoil #FinanceNews #EconomicGrowth

#TariffTurmoil
#AtlanticOcean
#NewJersey
#AtlanticCity
#TonysBaltimoreGrill
@tonysbaltimore
#DiveBar
#FineDining
#Pizza
#BriceDailyPhoto

Tariff Turmoil Leads Global Funds to Pile Back Into Japan Stocks - Bloomberg.com Tariff Turmoil Leads Global Funds to Pile Back Into Japan Stocks  Bloomberg.com

Click Subscribe #JapanStocks #GlobalFunds #TariffTurmoil #Investing #StockMarket

Click Subscribe #PrivateCredit #TariffTurmoil #MarketVolatility #FundingOptions #FinanceNews

Senate Stuns: Tariff Clash Ignites Economic Firestorm Senate blocks tariff resolution, fueling trade war fears. World Snap dives into verified impacts, economic risks, and global reactions. Breaking news awaits!

Senate’s tariff vote sparks economic chaos. Will Trump’s trade war sink the U.S.? Dive into the verified truth! #TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #SenateVote #EconomicCrisis #OngoingNow24

Stock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe AI Stocks to Buy Amid Tariff Turmoil, According to a Wall Street Analyst - The Motley Fool Stock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe AI Stocks to Buy Amid Tariff Turmoil, According to a Wall Street Analyst  The Motley Fool

Click Subscribe #StockMarket #Investing #AIStocks #WallStreet #TariffTurmoil

The Tariff Turmoil Could Trigger 4 Interest Rate Cuts in 2025 -- Here's What It Means for Stocks - The Motley Fool The Tariff Turmoil Could Trigger 4 Interest Rate Cuts in 2025 -- Here's What It Means for Stocks  The Motley Fool

Click Subscribe #TariffTurmoil #InterestRates #StockMarket #FinanceNews #EconomicAnalysis

Click Subscribe. #SwissFranc #TariffTurmoil #SNB #CurrencyMarket #ForexTrading

Big Banks Prepare For Future Losses Due To Trump’s Tariff Turmoil The United States’ eight globally systemically important banks have recently reported first quarter earnings that outperformed analysts’ forecasts.

#BigBanks #TariffTurmoil #ProvisionsForCreditLosses #PreparingForARecession

My latest at @forbes.com.

www.forbes.com/sites/mayrar...

Fed Chair Powell warns of tariff turmoil as big company stocks struggle - Fortune Fed Chair Powell warns of tariff turmoil as big company stocks struggle  Fortune

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Bond strategists expect US yields to fall despite tariff turmoil BENGALURU (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields will fall, according to bond strategists polled by Reuters who say an economic slowdown in the wake of President Donald Trump’s erratic and sweeping tariffs on trading partners will eventually compel the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. Their optimism on Treasury market performance comes as inflation expectations surge, creating hesitancy among Fed policymakers on rate cuts, and as nearly half of survey respondents said they were concerned about the market’s safe-haven status. A searing sell-off last week driven by hedge funds unwinding large leveraged bets pushed up the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield by more than 70 basis points to a near two-month high of 4.59%. While Trump’s surprise 90-day backtrack on reciprocal tariffs, except on China, has since calmed markets, investor sentiment has soured considerably. Some have even speculated a large-scale global exodus away from U.S. assets may already be underway. Nearly half of strategists polled who answered an extra question, 15 of 32, said they were concerned about the safe-haven status of U.S. Treasuries. That compares with slightly more than one-third of FX analysts with similar worries about the dollar in a Reuters poll conducted two weeks ago. Despite robust demand in a 10-year Treasury auction last week, several major U.S. sell-side banks have sounded similar alarms in their recent market commentary. "The dramatic swings (last) week revealed cracks in the Treasury market that may remain visible for some time," Goldman Sachs strategists wrote in a recent note. Still, more than 50 bond strategists in an April 10-15 Reuters poll predicted the 10-year yield, currently around 4.38%, would decline to a median 4.21% by the end of June before falling to 4.14% in a year. Forecasts for the 12-month horizon ranged from 3.40% to 5.00%. Treasury market volatility, measured by the widely regarded MOVE index, shot to an 18-month peak last week and is still more than 50% higher than its long-term average. "This week, it’s my hope, without a lot of confidence, realized volatility comes down a little bit and the intermediate to longer-term themes of disinflation and slowing economic growth in the U.S. start to take hold and pull longer-term yields lower," said Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott. "That said, I have much more confidence in an intermediate-term view which is towards lower yields than I do in a short-term view, which seems to be dominated by overextended positioning," LeBas added. Fuelled by tariffs, consumer inflation expectations have hit their highest in more than 40 years which has effectively tied the Fed’s hands. Several officials have advocated for a pause in monetary policy moves until the economic outlook becomes clearer. Yet interest rate futures are pricing in three Fed rate cuts this year compared with one or two priced in at the start of the year. Bond market strategists appear a little more cautious - 60% of those polled, 18 of 30, said risks to their U.S. 10-year yield forecasts were tilted to the upside. "The tariffs are likely to bring inflation (and) that’s making the Fed reticent to cut rates," said Robert Tipp, chief investment strategist at PGIM Fixed Income. "Slower growth makes a bad fiscal situation worse, plus the federal government is possibly going to change the rules on budgets and allow for current policy to be taken as the baseline. And that could allow for a more lenient budgeting process. All said, this would add a bit of an upward bias to rates."

Click Subscribe. #Bonds #USYields #TariffTurmoil #Investing #FinanceNews

Annuity Issuers Look Stronger Than the Ground They're On S&P says insurers can handle volatility, but bond market watchers wonder about the flight from U.S. assets.

Analysts, on life and annuity issuers: They look strong.

On the world: Wobbly.

www.thinkadvisor.com/2025/04/11/a... #tariffturmoil #tariffs #bondmarketpain #annuities #lifeinsurance

#TariffTurmoil #InsiderTrading #MarketManipulation

What the f* is going on
@jayapal.house.gov
@pattymurray.bsky.social
@cantwell.senate.gov

1/9
🚨 TRUMP'S INSANE GLOBAL TRADE WAR PANICS MARKETS FURTHER🚨

Stocks swung wildly Monday as Trump's tariff war batters global markets.

S&P 500 plunged 4.7%, then surged 3.4% before falling again—the most extreme volatility since COVID-19 crash.
#MarketCrash #TariffTurmoil #TrumpDepression

Tariff turmoil boosts Swiss franc, pressuring SNB to move closer to negative rates ZURICH (Reuters) - Market turmoil unleashed by U.S. trade tariffs has boosted the Swiss franc, piling pressure on the country’s export-oriented economy and potentially pushing the Swiss National Bank closer to negative interest rates with inflation near zero. Since U.S. President Donald Trump last week shocked world markets by announcing hefty import tariffs for most of the global economy, more and more analysts have forecast that the SNB will again cut rates. The SNB has repeatedly said that even though it would rather not do so, it is prepared to take its benchmark rate into negative territory to safeguard price stability, which it defines as inflation of between 0-2%. "Negative rates aren’t something we’d be happy about, but it’s an instrument that really helps us if necessary in stabilising inflation," SNB governing board member Petra Tschudin said last week after the U.S. tariffs were unveiled. The SNB’s key rate is currently at just 0.25% and Swiss inflation at the lower end of its target range, at 0.3%. The SNB declined to comment for this article. Viewed by investors as a safe haven asset, the franc on Monday hit a six-month high versus the dollar, its highest level against the euro since the end of 2024 and against the pound since last August. To the dismay of Swiss officials, Trump announced heavier tariffs for Switzerland than its neighbours in the European Union or Britain, prompting economists to trim forecasts for Swiss economic growth. A weaker economy is likely to put downward pressure on inflation as will a stronger franc because it reduces the cost of imports, analysts note. The SNB’s next scheduled monetary policy decision is in June, and analysts argue it can afford to watch what other central banks do before making any major move. That did not mean it could not act before June though, some said. Markets are currently leaning towards another 25 basis point rate cut by the SNB, according to LSEG data. DOWN, DOWN With inflation already barely above zero, the risk is growing that it could temporarily slip into negative territory, said GianLuigi Mandruzzato, an economist at bank EFG, pointing to the impact of falling oil prices. "The risk of deflation has risen, and that explains why the chances of seeing again negative interest rates have also risen quite meaningfully," he said. The SNB moved interest rates into negative territory from late 2014 to 2022 to limit the franc’s appreciation, although the policy was unpopular with savers. It has also intervened on foreign exchange markets to weaken the franc and meet its inflation target, but the Trump administration said currency manipulation was one of the factors behind its tariffs, raising the risk of blowback. Adrian Prettejohn, an economist at Capital Economics, said he expected the SNB to take its key rate to zero at its June meeting, and that it would not hesitate to go lower. "The risks are towards the SNB acting earlier than that - i.e. cutting outside of a scheduled meeting - and/or cutting by a larger amount and taking the policy rate negative," he said. Harald Preissler, capital market strategist at bank Bantleon, said he presently did not expect the U.S. tariffs to seriously dampen Swiss economic growth, but instead saw greater risks on the inflationary outlook. Any major diversion of global trade in goods from the U.S. to the EU and Switzerland would likely exert considerable deflationary pressure, at least temporarily, he said. "In this case, the SNB is likely to cut interest rates, making the reintroduction of negative interest rates more likely. We assign a 40% probability to this risk scenario."

Click Subscribe. #SwissFranc #SNB #NegativeRates #TariffTurmoil #Forex

Emerging Stocks Sink Most Since 2008 as Tariff Turmoil Deepens - Yahoo Finance Emerging Stocks Sink Most Since 2008 as Tariff Turmoil Deepens  Yahoo Finance

Click Subscribe #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #TariffTurmoil #FinancialNews #MarketCrash

Why is $BTC down today: Trump's tariff tsunami sent markets into panic mode, with Bitcoin dropping 9.5% to $75K. For a supposedly 'uncorrelated asset,' Bitcoin sure gets nervous when stocks catch a cold. Excuse me while I rewrite my 'crypto as inflation hedge' thesis. #TariffTurmoil

😱 BREAKING: While markets tank from Trump's tariffs, Senate Republicans pushed through a massive budget plan overnight with a 51-48 vote! I did a deep analysis of what's in it and who wins/loses.

Full breakdown here: docs.google.com/document/d/1...

#BudgetAnalysis #EconomicPolicy #TariffTurmoil

💸 Tariff Turmoil 💥 'Liberation Day’—because chains look patriotic if you paint them red, white, and blue. ⛓️🇺🇸

“‘Liberation Day’—because chains look patriotic if you paint them red, white, and blue. ⛓️🇺🇸
New drop: Tariff Turmoil.
When billionaires celebrate, the rest of us pay. 💸💥
open.substack.com/pub/theemoji...

#EmojiLution ✊🛡️ #TariffTurmoil 💸💥 #LiberationDay ⛓️🇺🇸 #TruthBombs 💥📡 #ProtectWhatMatters 🛡️💙