U.S. Credit Rating Downgraded, US Dollar Opens Lower - Ultima Markets Moody’s Investors Service has downgraded the U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA1, citing rising government debt and growing budget deficits. The downgrade unsettled financial markets, leading to declin...

🇺🇸 Moody’s downgrades U.S. credit rating (AAA → AA1)
Stock futures dip
USDJPY gapped down but recovered
DXY support: 100.40
Key watch: May 22 PMI releases

#USDWatch #CreditRating #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

April CPI Shows Mixed Signals, Delays Fed Cut Expectations - Ultima Markets The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April, released on April 13, reflects a continued cooling in inflation on a year-over-year basis, offering some relief to both consumers and policymakers. Howev...

🇺🇸 April CPI = mixed bag
YoY: 2.3% ↓
MoM: +0.2% ↑
Core CPI: still sticky
DXY pulled back from 101.30 but still above 100

Fed likely holds in July, cuts in Sep

#UMMacroNote #USDWatch #Ultimamarkets

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady, Cites Trade Uncertainty - Ultima Markets At its May meeting, the Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, in line with market expectations. This marks the third consecutive meeting without a rate change. The Fed ...

🏦 Fed holds rate at 4.25–4.50%
Powell warns tariffs = inflation risk
USD remains stuck at DXY 99–100
July rate cut odds drop to 55.9%

Range-bound until CPI or jobs move the needle

#USDWatch #FOMC #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

U.S. April Jobs Report Offers Relief, Focus on FOMC | Ultima Markets The U.S. labor market showed continued resilience in April, offering relief to investors concerned about a potential slowdown. Non-Farm Payrolls increased by 177,000 Jobs exceeding market expectations...

👷‍♂️ US jobs beat forecasts in April:

+177K jobs
4.2% jobless rate
Dollar holds steady ahead of FOMC

Market expects rate cut by July
DXY range: 99–100.
This week’s Fed tone could shake it.

#UMDailyInsight #USDWatch #FOMCPreview #Ultimamarkets