Does confidence calibration improve conformal prediction?
HuaJun Xi, Jianguo Huang, Kangdao Liu, Lei Feng, Hongxin Wei
Action editor: Matthew Holland
https://openreview.net/forum?id=6DDaTwTvdE
#conformal #predictions #prediction
Unsupervised Conformal Inference Improves LLM Uncertainty Control
Submitted September 2025, a study proposes unsupervised conformal inference for LLMs, providing label-free uncertainty gating with 1-α coverage and is under review for ICLR 2026. Read more: getnews.me/unsupervised-conformal-i... #conformal #llm
Conformal Prediction Provides Reliable Uncertainty for Treatment Effects
Researchers reviewed eleven papers on conformal prediction for treatment‑effect estimation, noting it can produce 90% confidence intervals that stay valid under distribution shifts. getnews.me/conformal-prediction-pro... #conformal #treatment
Hybrid Neural Process Improves State Estimation of Nonlinear Dynamics
A physics‑informed attentive neural process paired with split conformal prediction delivers 90% confidence intervals for state estimation on a six‑degree‑of‑freedom quadrotor. Read more: getnews.me/hybrid-neural-process-im... #quadrotor #conformal
New preprint with Fabrizio Leisen and our PhD student Zhanli Wu:
"Conformalized Regression for Bounded Outcomes"
arxiv.org/abs/2507.14023
#rstats #conformal #prediction
R code and data are also available at:
github.com/ZWU-001/CPBo...
sn-news: #wearables #efashion #sustainability #conformal #flexible #electronics Circularity of Smart Products and Textiles Containing Flexible Electronics: Challenges, Opportunities, and Future Directions www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/25...
Sharing past joint work on continuity properties of Bessel processes available at:
alea.impa.br/articles/v18...
As an application: SLE (κ) welding homeomorphism is continuous for k in [0,4].
More on margarintvlad.com
#Mathematics #Physics #Stochastic #Conformal #MathematicalPhysics
A great paper from IDLab (University of Ghent, Belgium 🇧🇪), one of the best labs on the planet when it comes to #conformal prediction. The paper uses R2CCP that I have covered in my medium article extending it to two dimensional space.
#conformalprediction
Conformalized Credal Regions for Classification with Ambiguous Ground Truth
Michele Caprio, David Stutz, Shuo Li, Arnaud Doucet
Action editor: Manuel Haussmann
https://openreview.net/forum?id=L7sQ8CW2FY
#conformalized #conformal #classification
🚨 Excited about this new paper on Generalized Venn Calibration and conformal prediction!
We show that Venn and Venn-Abers can be extended to general losses, and that conformal prediction can be viewed as Venn multicalibration for the quantile loss!
#calibration #conformal
Attention-Worthy Links for December 1st, 2024
bit.ly/awl1201024
#Internet Archive #universal access #X-59 #conformal #FIT21 #Bitcoin Act of 2024 #$100K Bitcoin #freeze #Internet #misinformation #paywalls #lithium #cobalt #OpenWrt One #802.11ah #Kara-Murza #Siberia #FSB #minerals #food #pandemic
Excited to share that our paper "Self-Calibrating Conformal Prediction" with Ahmed Alaa is accepted at #NeurIPS2024! 🚀
We combine model calibration and prediction intervals by integrating Venn-Abers into conformal prediction. #conformal #calibration
arxiv.org/pdf/2402.07307
