🧵 4/5
Why does this matter for the Impartiality Project?
Well, if the party system is fragmenting, then broadcasters’ long-standing habits of balancing “government vs official opposition” get much harder to sustain.
#polsky #impartiality #impartialityproject #electionpolling #journalism
🧵 3/5
The piece also flags volatility: with years still to go until the next general election, the trajectory isn’t fixed—but the current pattern has real implications for May 2026 & leadership pressure on the major parties.
#polsky #impartiality #impartialityproject #electionpolling #journalism
🧵 1/5
Labour & Reform have averaged around the mid-20s in vote intention over this period, with the Conservatives lower, & the Lib Dems and Greens behind but stable (with a Green boost after their 2025 leadership change).
#impartiality #impartialityproject #electionpolling #polsky
Election data text over American flag
The Roper Center’s collection of #electionpolling is the most comprehensive available. We've created a free finding aid for available demographics between 1972-2022. Download it & learn more in the Roper Center Election Polling Overview: ropercenter.cornell....
4/9 "One thing is clear is this election is more and more shaping up to look like it's a binary choice," said Calgary pollster Janet Brown about Poilievre versus Carney, suggesting the NDP must focus on "saving the deck chairs" to maintain official party status.
#ElectionPolling #VoterChoice
The most important part of this poll is the tiny language at the bottom that says "shaded areas represent the margin of error" LOL
#Election2024 #GeneralElection2024 #ElectionPolling #Harris2024 #VOTE
#JustinTrudeau #ElectionPolling
Justin Trudeau Approval Polling:
Disapprove: 61% (+2)
Approve: 22% (-2)
Net: -39%
Abacus Data / Sept 12, 2024 / Online
(% Change With Aug 18, 2024)
