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The more you know, the lower your GDP nowcast go.
#NumbersDay
www.atlantafed.org/research-and...

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February data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey show a decline in hires to 4.8M (-498K). The hires rate fell to 3.1 percent, its lowest level since April 2020, and similar to the levels seen in the years following the Great Recession. #NumbersDay

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Job openings were down in February, but January's total was revised up. On balance, openings have basically stabilized in recent months (or maybe are trending down ever so slightly). #NumbersDay

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10-year at 8-month high, despite latest TACO.

#EconSky #NumbersDay

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New unemployment insurance claims edge up 2% to modest 216K in week ending 3/21.

Continuing claims edge down.

The low-fire side of the low-hire, low-fire, deer-in-the-headlights labor market continues.
#NumbersDay

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New unemployment insurance claims edge down 8,000 (4%) in week ending (WE) 3/14 to low 205,000. Continuing claims steady.

Low fire side of the low-hire, low-fire, deer-in-the-headlights labor market continues.
#NumbersDay

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Although Challenger reported a surge in job cuts in January, that did not materialize in the official #JOLTS data. Layoffs and discharges fell just slightly between December and January and remain fairly low by historical standards.
#NumbersDay

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The hires rate was unchanged in January and remains at levels similar to 2013 when the economy was still recovering from the Great Recession. Quits also remain lower than what we experienced in the tight pre-pandemic labor market. Employers and workers appear to be in a holding pattern.
#NumbersDay

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#Numbersday updates from our own @aaronsojourner.org.

#numbersday, #econsky, #jobs

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Today, the BLS released the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey data for January:
- Most measures experienced little to no change since December
- Benchmark revisions indicate very small changes in originally reported data for December, little to no impact on trends

#NumbersDay #EconSky

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How did U.S. metro areas' exports change from 2024 to 2025?
#NumbersDay
www.census.gov/foreign-trad...

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New unemployment insurance claims stable and moderate in week ending Mar 7.
#NumbersDay

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Preview
Real Earnings Summary - 2026 M02 Results

From February 2025 to February 2026, real average hourly earnings increased 1.4 percent, seasonally
adjusted.
#NumbersDay
www.bls.gov/news.release...

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Preview
Consumer Price Index Summary - 2026 M02 Results

Inflation was still running hot *before* Trump launched his war of choice with Iran. Overall consumer prices up 2.4%yoy; gas utilities (10.9%), electricity (4.8%), medical care (4.1%), and food (3.1%) are leading price increases. www.bls.gov/news.release... #numbersday #econsky

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U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in February and were up 2.4% from a year earlier. "Core" prices, excluding food and energy, were up 0.2% month/month and 2.5% year/year. But remember that all these numbers are from before the war in Iran sent gas prices soaring. #NumbersDay

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Preview
Immigrants Make the Labor Market Great CAP analysis of the February 2026 employment report shows that President Trump’s promises to native-born workers have yet to materialize while reduced immigration is poised to have a negative effect o...

New jobs day analysis from @saraestep.bsky.social and me on the latest labor market data and how Trump's immigration policies are not delivering for native-born workers and hurting the overall health of the labor market #numbersday #econsky ⇣ www.americanprogress.org/article/immi...

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The overall unemployment ticked up slightly in February, while the unemployment rate rose for Black, Asian, and Hispanic workers. Notably volatile series, but Black unemployment is now back up at 7.7% compared to only 3.7% for white workers.
#EconSky #NumbersDay

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While the overall employment-to-population ratio dropped because of the new population controls, the prime-age employment-to-population ratio—the share of the population 25-54 with a job—remains incredibly resilient.

#EconSky #NumbersDay

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Attacks on the federal workforce continue. Federal employment has shrunk an alarming 327,000 jobs since January 2025. The vital services federal employees provide cannot be done without these essential workers. The cost of these losses are only beginning to be felt.
#EconSky #NumbersDay

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Manufacturing jobs fell again, down 12,000 between January and February 2026. Since January 2025, the manufacturing sector has lost 100,000 jobs. I repeat: The manufacturing sector lost 100k jobs since Trump took office.

#EconSky #NumbersDay

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Between the decline in employment in February and the downward revision to December, job growth has now effectively slowed to zero. #numbersday

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Job losses in Feb were most acute in health care, due to striking workers who have since gone back to work. Notable losses as well in leisure and hospitality and educational services. Job were added in financial activities and social assistance. On net, 92k job losses for Feb.

#EconSky #NumbersDay

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Today's jobs report was much weaker than expected. Payroll jobs fell 92k in Feb, and revisions to Dec data show a loss of 17k jobs. Average job growth over the last 3 months now under 6k.

Household survey population controls indicate a significant drop in the labor force.

#NumbersDay #EconSky

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#jobsday analysis from our own @aaronsojourner.org. Find out how the economy is changing in the thread below.

#numbersday, #econsky

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New unemployment claims exactly flat in week ending (WE) 2/28 versus prior at modest 213K. No news is good news.
#NumbersDay

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Bar Chart: 
Jobs Created - Private Sector

Last 13 Months Before Trump
versus
First 13 Months Under Trump

Before Trump: 1.9M
Under Trump: 502K

Source: ADP
https://adpemploymentreport.com/

Bar Chart: Jobs Created - Private Sector Last 13 Months Before Trump versus First 13 Months Under Trump Before Trump: 1.9M Under Trump: 502K Source: ADP https://adpemploymentreport.com/

New Private-Sector Jobs Numbers from ADP:

In Trump's first 13 months, hiring has slowed dramatically

adpemploymentreport.com

#NumbersDay #EconSky

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Friends of BLS urges Congress to provide no less than $754 million for BLS in FY 2027
#EconSky #NumbersDay #FinTwit
static1.squarespace.com/static/5bedb...

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#EconSky #sociology #PoliSky #PolicySky #NumbersDay #FinTwitter #stats
#StatsSky #science #EduSky

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New #numbersday analysis from our own @aaronsojourner.org

#Econsky

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New claims for unemployment insurance steady in week ending 2/21. Continuing claims steady too.

No evidence of weakening.
#NumbersDay

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