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Jordan Walker 2026 Breakout: Cardinals Star's Hot Start Jordan Walker is lighting up 2026 with a 180 wRC+, 97.7 mph exit velocity, and a Statcast-era record 100.6 mph throw. Is this the breakout Cardinals fans waited for?

Jordan Walker 2026 Breakout: Cardinals Star's Hot Start
Jordan Walker is lighting up 2026 with a 180 wRC+, 97.7 mph exit velocity, and a Statcast-era record 100.6 mph throw. Is this the breakout Car...

#STLCards #Cardinals #JordanWalker #MLB #Statcast
https://scrollworthy.org/trending/jordan-walker

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Explore every hitter's EB/PA, posteriors, projections, and more:

dtw-str.streamlit.app/Hitter_Profile

Data for models: MLB Statcast

#MLB #Statcast #Bayes

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Added a Player Evaluations page to the Deserve-to-Win Simulator app (dtw-str.streamlit.app)

Uses a Bayesian hierarchical model to rank every hitter and pitcher by the model's estimated bases per PA and batted ball.

It will update each day during the 2026 season (w/new data).

#MLB #Statcast

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#Statcast JUAN SOTO - Swing Rate
by Proximity to Border of Strike Zone
(Adjusted for Ball-Strike Count)

We are lucky we have one of the smartest batters of all-time active in his prime in Statcast era

Here we see the swing rate of Juan Soto, since 2021, by strike zone location

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#Statcast Aging Curve for Swing Speed

Using the delta-method

Two best-fit lines for pre/post-peak, showing drastically different slopes

Outside of ages 22-35 has limited sample, so beware

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#Statcast Aging Curve for Exit Velocity

Using the 50% fastest speeds for each batter-batside (aka EV50)

Two best-fit lines for pre/post-peak, showing drastically different slopes

Outside of ages 22-35 has limited sample, so beware

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#Statcast Blog Post: Ideal Seam Orientation for Fastballs

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...

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Why do I measure speed in feet per second, as opposed to the nonsensical MPH? Let me give you example #88302, in the form of IKF sliding (feet first at that) on a FORCE play at home.

A reminder to folks new to baseball: on a force play at 1B or at home plate, you can run through the base without turning a force play into a tag play. That's why almost everyone runs thru the bag at 1B. And for those who insist on sliding, they will slide head first. Sliding feet first is unheard of at 1B for obvious reasons.

But, when it comes to home plate (with the bases loaded), runners will usually slide and do so mostly feet first! It is either lack of situational awareness or a fight between your instincts of sliding at home on tag plays versus overcoming the adrenaline of the bases loaded play.


Anyway, back to the key play. I've frozen the play at the release point (click to embiggen). The fielder (Rojas) is about 100 feet away, releasing the ball at 79 mph. By the time it gets to the outstretched catcher, that ball is going to travel 93 feet and lose about 15% of its speed, or get there at 67 mph. At constant deceleration, that gives us an average speed in the air of 73 mph, or 107 feet per second. Traveling 93 feet for a ball traveling at 107 ft/s means it will get there in 93/107 or 0.87 seconds.


IKF typically runs at a Sprint Speed of 27.4 feet per second, but he was hustling here at 28.2 ft/s. Since the ball will get there in 0.87 seconds, that means IKF will travel 28.2 x 0.87 = 24.5 feet.

At the release point, his center of mass was 33 feet from the backtip of home plate.  In order to touch the near corner of the plate with his outstretched running legs, his center of mass would need to be about 28.5 feet away.  In other words, IKF running-thru, would be 4 feet short of touching home plate when the ball is caught.  Which is a bit closer than his actual slide at the catch point.  Either way, a clean catch means he's easily out.

However, you will remember that the …

Why do I measure speed in feet per second, as opposed to the nonsensical MPH? Let me give you example #88302, in the form of IKF sliding (feet first at that) on a FORCE play at home. A reminder to folks new to baseball: on a force play at 1B or at home plate, you can run through the base without turning a force play into a tag play. That's why almost everyone runs thru the bag at 1B. And for those who insist on sliding, they will slide head first. Sliding feet first is unheard of at 1B for obvious reasons. But, when it comes to home plate (with the bases loaded), runners will usually slide and do so mostly feet first! It is either lack of situational awareness or a fight between your instincts of sliding at home on tag plays versus overcoming the adrenaline of the bases loaded play. Anyway, back to the key play. I've frozen the play at the release point (click to embiggen). The fielder (Rojas) is about 100 feet away, releasing the ball at 79 mph. By the time it gets to the outstretched catcher, that ball is going to travel 93 feet and lose about 15% of its speed, or get there at 67 mph. At constant deceleration, that gives us an average speed in the air of 73 mph, or 107 feet per second. Traveling 93 feet for a ball traveling at 107 ft/s means it will get there in 93/107 or 0.87 seconds. IKF typically runs at a Sprint Speed of 27.4 feet per second, but he was hustling here at 28.2 ft/s. Since the ball will get there in 0.87 seconds, that means IKF will travel 28.2 x 0.87 = 24.5 feet. At the release point, his center of mass was 33 feet from the backtip of home plate. In order to touch the near corner of the plate with his outstretched running legs, his center of mass would need to be about 28.5 feet away. In other words, IKF running-thru, would be 4 feet short of touching home plate when the ball is caught. Which is a bit closer than his actual slide at the catch point. Either way, a clean catch means he's easily out. However, you will remember that the …

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#Statcast Blog Post: IFK, Sliding, and Measuring Speed as Feet per Second

(updated)

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...

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#Statcast Blog Post: HR in X Parks: Raleigh v Judge

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...

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#Statcast If you can picture an 18 inch wide target, about 6 to 9 inches high, some 4 feet off the ground, about 1/6th of a second prior to plate crossing, that is the target that the batter is waiting for the ball to pass through, when he sees a fastball

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#Statcast Blog post: Run Value By Vertical Location of Pitch (at Plate Crossing)

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...

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#Statcast Definition of Attack Regions and its performances

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Does his dumper grow every home run? Is someone tracking this? #Statcast I'm looking at you.

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⚾ Batted Ball Analysis from 08/24/2025

1️⃣ Most Expected Bases
2️⃣ Least Expected Bases
3️⃣ Luckiest Hits
4️⃣ Unluckiest Outs

#MLB #Baseball #Statcast

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#Statcast Revamping Catch Probability, Part 2 of N

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...

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#Statcast Revamping Catch Probability, part 1 of N

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...

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& What could be the last & final time here on #SundayNightBaseball - #StatCast on ESPN 2, y'all still have ESPN with National Telecast & next week on The Deuce..... #KidsCast at Williamsport!

ESPN needs to re-contract themselves if they want to stay on the air with MLB?

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#Statcast
Here are lidar-based ballpark dimensions, year by year, including those that went thru changes

A few bonus columns:
- Deepest part of park
- Square footage, which is directly related to...
- Avg fence distance
- Avg HR (fence + height)

baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/...

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#Statcast Smoothness of a Swing Path

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#statcast
1. Take the 25% fastest pitches for each pitcher (regardless of fastball, offspeed, breaking etc)
2. Average those
3. Set a value 3mph below that
4. Take every pitch above the threshold in step 3 and average them. That's a pitcher's Hardball Speed

Fastball v Hardball

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#Statcast
I'll talk about this soon... these are the batters who have the most stable swing paths, and least stable

Any names surprise you in either list?

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Excited to share that 'Swinging, Fast and Slow' is now available on arXiv! arxiv.org/abs/2507.01238
I had a blast collaborating with @saberpowers.bsky.social on this and learned a lot from him in the process (plus I finally wrote a baseball paper!) #MLB #Statcast #sabermetrics

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#Statcast DP Fielding Runs

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...

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You reposted a #statcast display on an Astro/A's game. It belonged not in a sports blog but in a scientific journal devoted to charts and tables. It made me laugh 😁.

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#Statcast Called Strike Rate
Split by Home/Away Batters

Total impact is roughly 1% change in strikes called, which is less than 1 strike per game, which is worth ~0.1 runs per game

Home teams score ~0.4 more runs per game than away

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#Statcast
Called Strike Rate
By Proximity to Border of Strike Zone

There are some folks still disbelieving in the power of pitch presentation. Here we are comparing the best catcher in baseball (Patrick Bailey) to the currently worse

Chart on right is zoomed-in

As for Challenge ABS, since...

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Preview
스윙을 보는 새로운 방식, 컨택를 해부하다 - 더그아웃 번역실 Statcast의 새로운 스윙 지표 4가지로 타자의 스윙을 더 깊이 이해해보세요. 배트 각도부터 타이밍까지, 데이터를 통해 타격을 읽는 법!

🧠 배트의 각도, 타이밍, 궤적까지
타자의 스윙을 데이터로 해부하는 시대!

Statcast의 새로운 4가지 스윙 지표를 번역/정리했습니다.
스윙 분석의 현재를 함께 알아보세요.

📊 www.dugouttranslate.com/%ec%8a%a4%ec...

#Statcast #MLB #야구분석 #세이버매트릭스 #스윙지표

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#Statcast Swing Path and Attack Angle now available... with animation!

baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/...

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2025 SABR Analytics: MLB Statcast Updates: Baseball Savant, ABS, Game Notes
2025 SABR Analytics: MLB Statcast Updates: Baseball Savant, ABS, Game Notes YouTube video by SABRvideos

#Statcast team at #SABRAnalytics

www.youtube.com/watch?v=fzvN...

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#Statcast

Sonny Gray is fairly unique as MLB pitcher, as he throws his fastballs (4-seam, 2-seam) with heavy amount of gyro, and so has low amount of Active Spin (meaning spin of his pitch doesnt add much movement)

And yet, hes had a very successful MLB career. Do Stuff models treat his... 1/2

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