Trump Doubts Xi Meeting Amid Escalating US-China Trade War President Donald Trump cast doubt on a planned meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping amidst escalating trade tensions, particularly concerning critical

Trump Doubts Xi Meeting Amid Escalating US-China Trade War

#china #donaldtrump #tradetension #usa #XiJinping

अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति डोनाल्ड ट्रंप ने 1 नवंबर से चीन पर 100% अतिरिक्त टैरिफ लगाने की घोषणा की है। ट्रंप ने कहा कि यह शुल्क मौजूदा टैरिफ के अलावा होगा।
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#DonaldTrump #ChinaTariff #USChinaTradeWar #BreakingNews #GlobalEconomy #TradeTension #USPolitics #WorldNews #TariffWar #TrumpAnnouncement #bharatsamvad

Indian Stocks Rally as Modi’s Tax Cut Plan Offsets Trade Tension - Bloomberg.com Indian Stocks Rally as Modi’s Tax Cut Plan Offsets Trade Tension  Bloomberg.com

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ट्रम्प ने भारत पर 1 अगस्त से 25% टैरिफ और अतिरिक्त जुर्माने की घोषणा की ट्रम्प ने 1 अगस्त से भारत पर 25% टैरिफ व जुर्माना लगाया, व्यापार तनाव बढ़ा। अमेरिका-भारत वार्ता में रुकावट, निर्यात पर असर।

ट्रम्प ने भारत पर1 अगस्त से25% टैरिफ और अतिरिक्त जुर्माने की घोषणा की
www.newsfeedindia.in/2025/07/trum...
#TrumpTariff #IndiaUSTrade #25PercentTariff
#TradeTension #IndiaEconomy #USIndiaRelations
#August1Tariff #tariff #tarriffwar

Preview - BOJ to hold rates this week, may signal future hikes as outlook improves The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term policy rate at 0.5% at Thursday’s meeting: * decision due between 0230–0330 GMT / 2230 - 2330 US Eastern time (on Wednesday 30 July) but may present a less pessimistic outlook, potentially paving the way for rate hikes later this year. The shift in tone follows easing trade tensions after Japan’s recent agreement with the U.S. and a broader U.S.–EU deal, which has improved prospects for Japan’s export-driven economy. Still, the BOJ is expected to caution against lingering uncertainty, particularly regarding the delayed impact of U.S. tariffs. Last week Deputy Governor Uchida said the U.S.–Japan deal reduced uncertainty, but concerns remain over the timing and broader effects of U.S. trade policy on the global economy. Markets will be closely watching the BOJ’s quarterly outlook report The BOJ is likely to: * Raise its inflation forecast for fiscal 2025, reflecting continued food price increases (e.g. rice). * Adjust its stance on risks to the inflation outlook, potentially dropping its current "downside risks" view. * Maintain its projection that inflation will stably hit the 2% target in the latter half of its forecast period through fiscal 2027. Current BOJ projections (from the May 1 Outlook report): * 2025 core CPI: 2.2% * 2026: 1.7% * 2027: 1.9% --- Governor Ueda’s press conference will follow at 0630 GMT (0230 US Eastern time) for further clues on the next rate hike. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

| etsy.me/3RHihSQ | ctrendfx.com #BankOfJapan #BOJ #InterestRates #Economy #TradeTension

Canada retail sales rise in April, May slowdown expected amid trade strains Investing.com -- Retail sales in Canada rose 0.3% to $70.1 billion in April, driven largely by gains in the motor vehicle and parts subsector, according to data released Friday by Statistics Canada. Sales increased in six of nine subsectors, while retail e-commerce climbed 3.6%. The rebound also translated into a 0.5% gain in volume terms, suggesting stronger real activity. Still, retailers reported mounting pressure from Canada/U.S. trade tensions, with 36% citing issues such as higher prices, supply chain disruptions, and weaker demand. Motor vehicle and parts dealers led the monthly increase, up 1.9%, as both new and used car sales posted gains exceeding 2%. By contrast, sales at gasoline stations fell 2.7%, although volume-adjusted figures rose slightly by 0.4%. Core retail sales—which exclude autos and gasoline—edged up just 0.1%, pointing to subdued discretionary spending. The biggest drag came from clothing and accessory stores, down 2.2%, offsetting modest gains in sporting goods, electronics, and grocery categories. Regionally, five of ten provinces posted growth. British Columbia led with a 1.7% increase, bolstered by strong auto sales in the Vancouver area. Ontario rose 0.2% overall, though Toronto saw a stronger 2.7% gain. New Brunswick (NYSE:BC) recorded the steepest drop at 3.1%, weighed down by auto-related weakness. Despite April’s improvement, preliminary data for May suggest a potential pullback. Early estimates point to a 1.1% decline in retail sales, based on 53.8% of survey responses. While subject to revision, the data signal a soft start to the summer for Canada’s retail sector. BC: is this perennial leader facing new challenges? With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Sure, there are always opportunities in the stock market – but finding them feels more difficult now than a year ago. Unsure where to invest next? One of the best ways to discover new high-potential opportunities is to look at the top performing portfolios this year. ProPicks AI offers 6 model portfolios from Investing.com which identify the best stocks for investors to buy right now. For example, ProPicks AI found 9 overlooked stocks that jumped over 25% this year alone. The new stocks that made the monthly cut could yield enormous returns in the coming years. Is BC one of them?

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Cognac industry faces mounting losses as China and EU fail to resolve brandy tariff dispute Ongoing trade tensions threaten European spirits exports with uncertainty and lost sales in the crucial Chinese market

Cognac industry faces mounting losses as China and EU fail to resolve brandy tariff dispute #Cognac #Brandy #TradeTension #EuropeanSpirits #ChinaMarket

Stock Market News, June 2, 2025: Nasdaq Rises; Stocks Overcome Trade Tension Flare-Up - WSJ Stock Market News, June 2, 2025: Nasdaq Rises; Stocks Overcome Trade Tension Flare-Up  WSJ

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Stock Market News, June 2, 2025: Nasdaq Rises; Stocks Overcome Trade Tension Flare-Up - WSJ Stock Market News, June 2, 2025: Nasdaq Rises; Stocks Overcome Trade Tension Flare-Up  WSJ

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Stock Market News, June 2, 2025: Nasdaq Rises; Stocks Overcome Trade Tension Flare-Up - WSJ Stock Market News, June 2, 2025: Nasdaq Rises; Stocks Overcome Trade Tension Flare-Up  WSJ

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Trading Day: Trade tension turns to tentative hope ORLANDO, Florida (Reuters) - TRADING DAY Making sense of the forces driving global markets By Jamie McGeever, Markets Columnist The new trading month got off to a cautious start on Monday, with risk appetite sapped by the U.S.-China trade standoff and bubbling military tensions around the world, although a closely-watched tracking estimate of U.S. growth helped drive a late rally on Wall Street. In my column today I look at how, despite the drop in profits in the first quarter, corporate America is well-prepared to face the economic storm that may be coming its way. Indeed, corporate America has rarely been in better shape. More on that below, but first, a roundup of the main market moves. If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets today. 1. ECB faces surging euro conundrum: Mike Dolan 2. Playing it smart: Five questions for the ECB 3. Weak dollar reprises its role as ’carry’ trade funder 4. BOJ urged to keep or slow bond taper pace from fiscal2026 5. Trump tax bill poses limited benefits, higher costs forlower-income Americans Today’s Key Market Moves * U.S. stocks rise, led by the energy sector and some BigTech names like Meta (NASDAQ:META) and AMD (NASDAQ:AMD). The S&P 500 rises 0.4%, and theNasdaq gains 0.7%. * The dollar falls 0.6% on an index basis to a six-weeklow, losing ground against all its peers. Biggest winner is thekiwi dollar, up more than 1% to a 7-month high of $0.6039. * U.S. crude oil jumps as much as 4% intraday after OPEC+keeps its output increase unchanged. WTI nudges $64/bbl, Brentclimbs 2% above $65/bbl. * U.S. Treasuries fall across the board, most heavily at thelong end where yields rise 7 bps and steepen the curve. * Gold leaps 2.8% to $3,380/oz, boosted by tarifftensions, geopolitical concerns and the weaker dollar. Trade tension turns to tentative hope The first trading day of June was sticky for stocks, bad for bonds and downbeat for the dollar, with tariff concerns once again top of investors’ minds. Wall Street got off to a tepid start, perhaps understandably given how well it performed the month before. According to Citi’s Stuart Kaiser, U.S. stocks outperformed Treasuries in May by the widest margin since October 2022. The S&P 500 rose 6.2% to break its first three-month losing streak in five years while the 10-year Treasury’s total return was -1.57%, giving stocks their widest winning margin over bonds for a single month since October 2022. But a sense of cautious optimism emerged as the session progressed, and the main indices rebounded. Two developments were worth noting. First, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate of annualised GDP growth in the second quarter growth was raised to a punchy 4.6% from 3.8%, which is much higher than current consensus forecasts and would mark a significant recovery from the January-March contraction. Second, the White House said President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping will likely speak this week, a sign of possible detente in the trade war between the two countries that’s creating so much of the global economic and market uncertainty. Meanwhile, the bond and currency market trends that have been established in recent weeks show no sign of reversing, and the first trading day of the month saw the dollar and Treasuries fall again, and yield curves continue to steepen. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller’s remarks on Sunday that U.S. interest rates can still come down later this year were echoed by Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee on Monday. This weighed on the dollar and short-dated yields, but tariff and inflation worries lifted long-dated yields, and the 20- and 30-year yields are bumping up against 5.00% again. The dollar’s slide, economic uncertainty and heightened geopolitical tensions all put a strong bid under gold, which leaped nearly 3% to a three-week high. April’s record peak of $3,500/oz is not too far away. Tuesday’s session will likely be dominated by tariff headlines again, while a speech from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and euro zone inflation figures for May are among the other events investors will be watching closely. Corporate America is well prepared for the coming storm Headwinds from tariffs, bond yields and ’stagflation’ are gathering force, but corporate America could not be in better shape to face the economic storm that may be building. Data released last week showed that U.S. pre-tax corporate profits fell $118.1 billion, or 2.9%, in the first quarter, the fastest pace since 2020, suggesting companies are feeling the pinch from tariffs even before they’ve properly started to bite. After-tax profits fell 3.6%. But any sense of alarm should be mitigated by the fact that profits surged $205 billion, or 5.4%, the three months before. The decline in the January-March period was simply normalization on the back of a bumper quarter. And on a year-on-year basis, profits were up more than 5%. True, the next few quarters could get messy. If growth slows or inflation starts to rise, corporate margins could get squeezed, consumers may curb spending and companies could find themselves with limited pricing power. But zoom out, and the bigger picture suggests corporate America has rarely been stronger. Depending on how you slice and dice the figures, corporate profits as a share of national output or income are still extraordinarily high. In some cases, they’re close to the highest on record. Consider pre-tax profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. These fell slightly to 13.0% of GDP in the first quarter of this year, on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis, but that was from a record 13.5% in the September-December period. After-tax profits dipped to 12% of GDP from 12.2% in the final quarter of last year. Again, that was a small decline, and it leaves after-tax profits still near the all-time peak of 12.8% of GDP recorded in the second quarter of 2021. The average over the past 75 years is less than 7.5% of GDP. To paraphrase former British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan, corporate America has never had it so good. Which is just as well, because headwinds are gathering. DOMESTIC VS ’ROW’ One can debate how much any of the number of brewing risks will land on the real economy, but companies could certainly feel some pain if they end up facing the collective punch of tariffs, weakening consumer demand, diminishing pricing power and higher-for-longer interest rates. "An increasingly fragmented environment means diverging trends across economies. It’s an environment ... that will constrain profits at home and around the world," says Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon. Tariffs and protectionism will put the squeeze on global supply chains and overall trade. It will be interesting to observe how the divergence between domestically-generated profits and earnings accrued from the rest of the world (RoW) plays out in this environment. Domestic profits account for the majority of total income, of course, but that share has exploded recently. Or looked at the other way, the share of profits from abroad has plunged. If Trump’s trade war succeeds in prompting U.S. companies to bring more production back home, the ’RoW’ footprint may shrink further. In the fourth quarter of 2019, just before the pandemic, domestically-generated profits were around 75% of the $2.13 trillion total, on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis, and ’RoW’ profits accounted for a quarter. In the first three months of this year, domestic profits accounted for 87.5% of the total, and the share of profits from abroad had halved to 12.5%. Corporate profitability is being tested. The aggregate second quarter earnings growth forecast for S&P 500 companies stands at 5.5%, according to LSEG I/B/E/S, down from 10.2% two months ago. The 2025 calendar year earnings growth forecast has shrunk to 8.3% today from 14.0% at the start of the year. The challenges are mounting, but corporate America can face them from a position of strength. What could move markets tomorrow? * South Korea presidential election * South Korea CPI inflation (May) * China Caixin manufacturing PMI (May) * Euro zone inflation (May, flash estimate) * U.S. durable goods orders (April) * U.S. JOLTS job openings (April) * Fed officials scheduled to speak include: Chicago FedPresident Austan Goolsbee, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, andFed Governor Lisa Cook Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

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4/7 Just minutes before their meeting, Trump posted on social media that America doesn't need Canadian cars, energy, lumber or "ANYTHING they have, other than friendship," while claiming Canada needs "EVERYTHING" from the US—setting a challenging backdrop.
#TradeTension #Rhetoric

Trump Threatens 50% Tariff on China as Global Markets Plunge | AI News Brew <p>President Donald Trump escalated trade tensions on Monday by threatening to impose an additional 50% tariff on China, sending global markets into a tailspin. The move comes after China announced re...

Trump Threatens 50% Tariff on China as Global Markets Plunge
ainewsbrew.com/article/3814

#TradeWar #GlobalMarkets #TrumpTariffs #ChinaTrade #MarketCrash #StockMarket #GlobalEconomy #TradeTension #MarketVolatility #EconomicPolicy

⚡︎ Global markets plunge as Trump defends tariffs as "medicine," warning foreign leaders they'll "have to pay" to lift them. Asia saw Nikkei drop 8% amid fears of trade war with more US tariffs coming this week. #TradeTension #GlobalMarkets #TariffImpact #NewsZap #News

China Retaliates Against Trump Tariffs with 34% Levy, Rare Earth Export Controls | AI News Brew <p>China announced sweeping retaliatory measures on Friday against President Donald Trump's recent tariffs, imposing a 34% levy on all US imports and restricting exports of critical rare earth element...

China Retaliates Against Trump Tariffs with 34% Levy, Rare Earth Export Controls
ainewsbrew.com/article/3807

#TradeWar #ChinaUS #GlobalMarkets #TariffImpact #RareEarths #GlobalEconomy #TradeTension #MarketVolatility #EconomicPolicy #InternationalTrade

Global Markets Plunge as China Announces 34% Retaliatory Tariffs on US Goods Following Trump's Trade Actions | AI News Brew <p>Global financial markets experienced severe turbulence Friday as China announced a 34% retaliatory tariff on all U.S. imports, matching the rate imposed by President Trump's administration earlier ...

Global Markets Plunge as China Announces 34% Retaliatory Tariffs on US Goods Following Trump's Trade Actions
ainewsbrew.com/article/3793

#TradeWar #GlobalMarkets #ChinaTariffs #StockMarket #TradeTension #MarketCrash #EconomicPolicy #USChina #FinancialMarkets #GlobalTrade

7/9 It's already happening: The EU has "a strong plan to retaliate," France is considering targeting U.S. tech companies, China vowed countermeasures against "self-defeating bullying," and Brazil's Congress approved legislation enabling retaliation.
#GlobalResponse #TradeTension

Goldman Sachs says 35% chance of recession (from 20%) in 12 months Goldman Sachs has revised its U.S. tariff expectations sharply higher for 2025, warning that escalating trade tensions could weigh significantly on growth, inflation, and employment. In a note to clients, the bank said it now expects the average U.S. tariff rate to rise by 15 percentage points next year—up from a previous baseline of 10 percentage points and in line with its earlier risk scenario. The upward revision is largely driven by the expectation that Trump will announce a sweeping “reciprocal tariff” regime averaging 15% across all U.S. trading partners on April 2. While exemptions for specific products and countries are likely, Goldman estimates the effective impact on average tariffs would still amount to a 9-point increase. In response, the firm has raised its year-end 2025 core PCE inflation forecast by 0.5 percentage points to 3.5%, citing the inflationary impact of higher import costs. GDP growth is now projected to slow to just 1.0% on a Q4/Q4 basis, down 0.5 percentage points from prior estimates, while the unemployment rate is expected to climb to 4.5% by year-end. Reflecting the deteriorating outlook, Goldman has also increased its 12-month recession probability to 35%, citing weaker consumer and business sentiment and signs that policymakers may be more willing to accept near-term economic pain in pursuit of broader policy goals. With real income growth already decelerating—projected to average just 1.4% in 2025—Goldman cautions that the economy may be entering a more fragile phase, where sentiment and policy risks exert greater drag than in recent years. GS still see Fed rate cuts this year, citing a scare on growth This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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4/9 "I reject any attempts to weaken Canada, to wear us down, to break us so that America can own us.

That will never happen," Carney said, adopting an unusually combative tone toward Canada's largest trading partner.
#CanadaUS #TradeTension #ElbowsUp #CanadaStrong #CDNpoli #TeamCarney

Trump Shifts Stance on Stock Market Influence as S&P 500 Declines Following Trade War Announcement | AI News Brew <p>WASHINGTON (AP) - President Donald Trump has markedly shifted his stance on stock market performance indicators following recent market volatility, declaring 'You can't really watch the stock marke...

Trump Shifts Stance on Stock Market Influence as S&P 500 Declines Following Trade War Announcement haiku.ainewsbrew.com/article/3485

#StockMarket #TrumpEconomy #WallStreet #TradeWar #MarketVolatility #SP500 #EconomicPolicy #TariffTalks #FinancialMarkets #TradeTension

Nationwide Protests Erupt as Trump's 25% Tariffs on Canadian Goods Take Effect | AI News Brew <p>Protest groups gathered across all 50 U.S. states on Tuesday as President Donald Trump's administration implemented 25% tariffs on Canadian imports, marking a significant escalation in North Americ...

Nationwide Protests Erupt as Trump's 25% Tariffs on Canadian Goods Take Effect haiku.ainewsbrew.com/article/3307

#TrumpTariffs #CanadaUS #TradeWar #50501Movement #Protests2025 #USPolitics #TradeTension #NorthAmericanTrade #EconomicPolicy #CivilAction

Trump Launches Trade War: US Imposes 25% Tariffs on Canada and Mexico, Doubles China Tariffs to 20% | AI News Brew <p>The United States launched a major trade war Tuesday as President Donald Trump's administration imposed 25% tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico, while doubling existing tariffs on Chinese impor...

Trump Launches Trade War: US Imposes 25% Tariffs on Canada and Mexico, Doubles China Tariffs to 20% haiku.ainewsbrew.com/article/3305

#TradeWar #TrumpTariffs #USCanada #GlobalTrade #EconomicImpact #BorderSecurity #MarketCrash #InternationalTrade #TradeTension #GlobalMarkets

3/9 "The threat of tariffs is a real one, and may continue for a while," Joly warned from London.

Canada isn't backing down, becoming "the only country on earth" to publicly outline retaliatory tariffs on $155 billion worth of American imports.
#Canada #TradeTension #Tariffs #TrumpTariffs

ANALYSIS | If Trump does what he's promising, North America will change today | CBC News We still need to see the fine print. But if it matches U.S. President Donald Trump's rhetoric of an immediate 25 per cent tariff, Canada isn't just at risk of a recession. It faces a reordering of eco...

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🚨 BREAKING: Trump plans 25% tariff on Canadian goods today, threatening biggest economic shift in 90 years. Auto industry warns of shutdown "within the week" #BreakingNews #TradeTension

www.cbc.ca/news/world/t...