Local elections (BBC estimate) General election Same day 1997 11 13 2001 7 9 2005 2 3 2010 -8 -7 2015 -6 -6.5 Labour lead % points
Quick data point to help evaluate the #UKLE results compared to a General Election. Whenever the two were held on the same day, Labour (nearly) always did better in the GE vote.
Sky’s election expert Sir Michael Thrasher, while hugely respected, said the #UKLE results showed a hung parliament with Labour largest party. Utter bollocks based on looking back when the old landscape has been wiped out. (He’s also alone in saying that.) 5/5
Now that most of the #UKLE results are in we can start to see the takeaways. The main one is Uniform National Swing on which a lot of polling predictions is based is no longer valid. Huge swings to Labour in some parts of the country, not so much elsewhere. 1/2
The Green Party have now won 161 Council Seats ln the 2024 local elections. That’s an increase of 66 seats or 69.5% from 2021.
In total The Greens have over 810 Council Seats.
Reform barely have 1% of that total.
Despite what Richard Tice may say, The Greens are the real opposition to Labour.
#UKLE
Turn out figures for the Liverpool City Region Metro Mayor election - 23.7%
#UKLE
Good morning 💚
The Green Party have won 159 council seats, an increase of 65 seats from 2021. That is a huge increase, especially when compared to Labour & The LibDems.
Green increase = 69.1%
Labour increase = 20.3%
LibDem increase = 25%
Will this be reported by BBC & ITV etc?
#UKLE
Whispers say Sadiq Khan will get his third term in London but it’s tight. #UKLE
Comparative maps of Cheltenham showing the Lib Dems taking all but two constituencies
The Lib Dems have gained the Royal Borough of Tunbridge Wells, once the Conservative heartland and now a key LD parliamentary target.
And they’ve extended their power in Cheltenham. #UKLE
And here. Hastings should go Labour at the GE.
West St Leonards (Hastings) council election result:
LAB: 40.3% (+16.3)
CON: 36.7% (-20.0)
GRN: 16.6% (+6.4)
IND: 6.4% (+6.4)
Labour GAIN from Conservative. #UKLE
The Conservatives' one-seat majority on an Essex council hangs in the balance as an investigation into a councillor continues.
James Leppard, a Tory councillor on Harlow Council, is being investigated amid allegations that he posted Islamophobic comments on social media. #UKLE
The BBC’s Projected National Share of the vote is 25%, several points above what they’ve been polling and what I’ve always felt is their real floor. #UKLE 1/2
Another weird one:
Cliviger with Worsthorne (Burnley) council election result:
CON: 54.7% (+17.5)
GRN: 32.9% (-14.2)
LAB: 9.2% (+1.7)
LDEM: 3.2% (+0.7)
Conservative GAIN from Green. #UKLE
omg... #plymouthlive commenters are on another planet. Does anyone else recall when The Evening Herald was a decent local newspaper?
At least the voters had some sense.
#plymouthuk #devonuk #ukle
www.plymouthherald.co.uk/news/plymout...
Middle England likes the look of Labour.
Bletchley West (Milton Keynes) council election result:
LAB: 49.0% (+7.7)
CON: 37.0% (-11.0)
GRN: 7.6% (+2.8)
LDEM: 6.4% (+3.0)
Labour GAIN from Conservative. #UKLE
Central (Hyndburn) council election result:
GRN: 41.9% (+41.9)
CON: 26.4% (-23.0)
LAB: 24.1% (-26.4)
WP: 7.5% (+7.5)
Green GAIN from Labour. #UKLE
The Conservatives pulled back a little overnight. They’re now ‘only’ losing 50% of their councillors. #UKLE
Number crunchers say there’s at least evidence of Labour-Lib Dem tactical voting in wards where each one is strongest. #UKLE
Whopping win for Labour’s Kim McGuinness over independent Jamie Driscoll in the North East Mayor contest.
I note from my Facebook page that a Labour *candidate* was bragging about voting for Driscoll which is grounds for getting kicked out of the party. #UKLE
Harlow Council leader Dan Swords has hailed an "incredible" victory for the Conservatives…where the party's majority was cut from nine to a single seat.
I think they’re getting punch-drunk. #UKLE
Houchen lost 20% of his vote from last time. #UKLE
Here’s an interesting one:
Hatch Warren and Beggarwood (Basingstoke and Deane) council election result:
WEP: 61.6% (+61.6)
CON: 25.9% (-16.0)
LAB: 12.5% (-9.4)
Women's Equality Party GAIN from Conservative. #UKLE
Houchen wins Tees Valley for the Conservatives. #UKLE
Comparative map of Lincoln showing the Conservatives reduced to one seat
Lots of areas where the Conservatives are becoming extinct after thriving. This hits local party membership and makes it harder to claw back. #UKLE
Labour has conceded defeat in the Tees Valley mayoral race, but it’s got the swing it needed to win back the parliamentary seats there. #UKLE
Hearing from Labour friends they feel like they’ve lost the West Mids mayoralty. Gaza played a big part. #UKLE
"The Greens, however, do have some cause for celebration. Not only have they gained seats, but their vote is up on last year. Indeed the party may end up being slightly ahead of their previous best local election performance in 2019."
Sir John Curtice quote on BBC.
#UKLE
Looks like Labour are also struggling in student areas. #UKLE
Brace yourselves. 2000 more council seats to be declared today - including most of the Lib Dem targets - plus the first few Mayorals. #UKLE
Reform’s Richard Tice says the Conservatives are “too Socialist” which tells you exactly where Reform stands. #UKLE
Against the grain, the first Conservative seat in Newcastle since 1992. 🙄
Gosforth (Newcastle Upon Tyne) council election result:
CON: 33.7% (+6.8)
LDEM: 31.0% (-3.4)
LAB: 22.9% (-0.8)
GRN: 8.4% (-1.7)
NEP: 3.9% (+3.9)
Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat. #UKLE
