#Melissa ( #13L ) is now a Cat 3 #hurricane. This is a potentially catastrophic situation for Jamaica as rapid intensification will continue overnight.
Current storm information:
Position: 16.4°N 75.9°W
Movement: W at 3 kts (3 mph)
Intensity: 100 kts (115 mph)
Central pressure: 967 mb
Screenshot from Tropical Tidbits showing forecast model guidance for Tropical Storm Melissa, initialized on October 25, 2025. Four maps display storm track and intensity projections: • Top left: Various model track paths over the Caribbean and western Atlantic, mostly trending north and northeast. • Top right: GEFS ensemble tracks and minimum sea-level pressure values, with pressure decreasing below 950 mb in some runs. • Bottom left: GEPS ensemble tracks showing a similar northward movement from the Caribbean toward the open Atlantic. • Bottom right: Intensity guidance chart predicting possible strengthening to Category 1–3 hurricane levels within several days before gradual weakening.
Looks like our eastern seaboard may dodge another bullet with Hurricane Melissa. But these spaghetti models are still just scientific guesses.
www.tropicaltidbits.com/storm...
via spaghettimodels.com
I love learning about and experiencing weather. (But not experiencing SEVERE weather so much.)
D42 ATL #HurricaneSeason2025 8pm EDT
#Invest98L has 90% chance to be TC in 2/7 days
#Jamaica #Haiti #DominicanRepublic #Caymanislands #Nicaragua #Honduras #Cuba to Watch closely
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #tropicswx #Blueskywx #hurricaneseason #Melissa #Al98 #98L #Hispaniola #CaribbeanSea #13L #PTC13 #TD13
