Latest MW image shows good convection and evidence of banding as Ex Narelle #34U / #27P crosses back into the warm waters of the Indian ocean.
From 2 hrs ago #CycloneNarelle #Cyclone

Big differences between the GFS and EC Ensembles highlight the uncertainty in ex #Cyclone Narelle ( #34U / #27P) 's track.

Big differences between official BoM track and JTWC too ...

Bottom line- it is a waiting game. Dont believe the hype (yet)

#Narelle ( #27P, #34U) has crossed the Cape York Peninsula and is now over the Gulf of Carpentaria. It has weakened substantially and is now a Cat 2 (Australia) system with 55 kt winds.

Narelle is forecast to move across the Gulf and regain some strength before reaching the Top End early on Sunday.

Cyclone #Narelle (#27P, #34U) is currently making landfall on the Cape York Peninsula. It has weakened slightly but remains an intense Category 4 (Australian) tropical cyclone. The eye will likely pass north of Coen during the next few hours.

#Narelle (#27P, #34U) is undergoing an ERC as it approaches the Cape York Peninsula, but it remains a Cat 5 (Aus) cyclone with winds of 120 kts gusting to 170 kts. Although Narelle will weaken slightly before landfall, it will remain an extremely dangerous TC at that point.

#Narelle ( #27P , #34U ) continues to intensify over the Coral Sea. Significant impacts are expected over the northern Cape York Peninsula in #Qld beginning Fri. Although Narelle will likely weaken over land, some reintensification is likely once it enters the Gulf of Carpentaria on Sat.

Cat 2 Tropical Cyclone #Narelle ( #27P / #34U ) should intensify considerably over the next 48 hours, with a possible period of RI. Steering mechanisms are strong so there is a lot of confidence in the track, however there is uncertainty in speed and therefore timing of landfall.

Tropical Cyclone #Narelle (#27P, #34U) is quickly intensifying in the Coral Sea just to the SE of Sudest Island. The cyclone is forecast to move west-southwestward toward #Queensland's Cape York Peninsula, where it will likely make landfall as a Cat 4 (AUS) system on Friday.