Aerial view of an industrial area with smokestacks emitting smoke beside a river at sunset. Photo credit: Getty Images via Unsplash.

Large-scale greenhouse gas reductions will take time to return most of Earth to pre-industrial climates, a study in #AMSJCli suggests. Several decades later, only a few areas are likely to “de-emerge” say authors @hunterdouglas.bsky.social, @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social et al.

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The Changing Nature of Atmospheric Rivers Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are expected to strengthen in a warming climate, largely due to the thermodynamic (moistening) effect. Here, we show that this trend is already evident in historical ...

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) have already become “more frequent, larger, and moister” during 1980-2023 according to a study by @lexihenny.bsky.social & Kyu-Myong Kim in #AMSJCli. Extreme ARs are becoming more intense at an even faster rate.

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Persistent shortcomings are identified, emphasizing the need for further advancements in model physics to enhance seasonal predictions and climate change detection.
For more details, see the 2024 #OpenAccess paper in #AMSJCLi from John T. Fasullo et al. at