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CEPAE: Conditional Entropy-Penalized Autoencoders for Time Series Counterfactuals

Tomas Garriga, Gerard Sanz, Eduard Serrahima de Cambra, Axel Brando

Action editor: Fredrik Johansson

https://openreview.net/forum?id=X6lrzqOtQo

#autoencoders #counterfactuals #counterfactual

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07 - Beyond Confounders — Causal Inference for the Brave and True

#statstab #505 Beyond Confounders

Thoughts: What makes a good control and a bad control?

#counterfactuals #confounder #DAG #r #modelling #selectionbias #variance #control #causalinference

matheusfacure.github.io/python-causa...

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Original post on hachyderm.io

"Mediators, confounders, colliders – a crash course in causal inference"
by Florian Hartig (2019): theoreticalecology.wordpress.com/2019/04/14/mediators-con...

#offPolicy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals […]

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#statstab #485 Bayesian ANCOVA and the ATE

Thoughts: Still grappling with the implications of using the causal inference approach to randomized experiments. But it's interesting.

#ATE #causalinference #ancova #ANOVA #rstats #estimand #counterfactuals

solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2025-07...

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Chiara Marletto | The Science of Can and Can't
Chiara Marletto | The Science of Can and Can't YouTube video by Oxford Karl Popper Society

Another book on my reading list for this year ...

The Science of Can and Can't by Chiara Marletto

www.youtube.com/watch?v=sej8...

#physics #counterfactuals #possibility

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Quantum oracles give an advantage for identifying classical counterfactuals
Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee, David Schmid et al.
Paper
Details
#QuantumComputing #Counterfactuals #QuantumInformation

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New #J2C Certification:

Leveraging a Simulator for Learning Causal Representations from Post-Treatment Covariates for CATE

Lokesh Nagalapatti, Pranava Singhal, Avishek Ghosh, Sunita Sarawagi

https://openreview.net/forum?id=vmmgFW3ztz

#counterfactuals #counterfactual #causal

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Reproducibility study of "Competition of Mechanisms: Tracing How Language Models Handle Facts and...

Tijs Wiegman, Leyla Perotti, Viktória Pravdová, Ori Brand, Maria Heuss

Action editor: Alberto Bietti

https://openreview.net/forum?id=VCG6j3tcAA

#attention #counterfactuals #recall

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On the Generalizability of "Competition of Mechanisms: Tracing How Language Models Handle Facts a...

Asen Dotsinski, Udit Thakur, Marko Ivanov, Mohammad Hafeez Khan, Maria Heuss

Action editor: Manuel Rodriguez

https://openreview.net/forum?id=15keyzQj9h

#counterfactuals #counterfactual

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On the Generalizability of "Competition of Mechanisms: Tracing How Language Models Handle Facts and ...

On the Generalizability of "Competition of Mechanisms: Tracing How Language Models Handle Facts and ...

New #TMLR-Paper-with-Video:

On the Generalizability of "Competition of Mechanisms: Tracing How Language Models Handle Facts and ...

Asen Dotsinski, Udit Thakur, Marko Ivanov, Mohammad Hafeez Khan, Maria Heuss

https://tmlr.infinite-conf.org/paper_pages/15keyzQj9h

#counterfactuals

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Counterfactuals Boost Explainability of LLM Text Classification

Counterfactuals Boost Explainability of LLM Text Classification

A new study shows counterfactual reasoning reveals the most influential words in LLM text classification, boosting the decision changing rate. The paper was posted on 5 Oct 2025. Read more: getnews.me/counterfactuals-boost-ex... #llm #counterfactuals

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Boosting Explainable AI with Narrative Counterfactuals

Boosting Explainable AI with Narrative Counterfactuals

Researchers unveiled a pipeline that merges large and compact models to turn counterfactual data into stories, using distillation for edge‑device use. DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2510.03134. Read more: getnews.me/boosting-explainable-ai-... #explainableai #counterfactuals

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We love the idea of a “what if” in history – #counterfactuals and #alternativehistory.
Writing these stories stretches the imagination and is fun. But how to write in this framework?
Robert Harris does it, JD Robb does it. Here are a few #writingtips www.alison-morton.com/2016/06/28/h...

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Original post on mementomori.social

Willow Starr ja Alex Kocurek ovat päivittäneet SEP-entryään kontrafaktuaaleista,

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/counterfactuals/

Käypiä välineitä jossittelun semantiikan analyysiin ja systematisointiin.

#kontrafaktuaali #counterfactuals #semantics #semantiika #logiikka #logic #filosofia […]

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New #Reproducibility Certification:

Reproducibility study of "Competition of Mechanisms: Tracing How Language Models Handle Facts and...

Tijs Wiegman, Leyla Perotti, Viktória Pravdová, Ori Brand, Maria Heuss

https://openreview.net/forum?id=VCG6j3tcAA

#attention #counterfactuals

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#AltHistory #AlternateHistory #WhatIf #HistoryReimagined #HistoricalFiction #SpeculativeHistory #Counterfactuals
Proximity Factor
www.smashwords.com/books/view/1...
Today's the day!
The state's court's decision on the election is today!
Do you have the morning paper?
He opened the newspaper.

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Preview
Al Gore 2000 Election win speach Listen to Al Gore 2000 Election win speach by sj #np on #SoundCloud

From the book Proximity Factor
www.smashwords.com/books/view/1...

#AlternativeHistory #WhatIf #HistoryReimagined #TimelineTwists #SpeculativeHistory #HistoricalFiction #Counterfactuals #AlternateRealities #HistoryUnfolded #ImaginedPast

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Imperial Explainable AI Seminars

Next Wednesday, May 14th, I will give a presentation in the Explainable AI Seminars @ Imperial:

xaiseminars.doc.ic.ac.uk

I will talk about our recent work on #robust #counterfactuals and counterfactuals for #linear #optimization problems:

doi.org/10.1287/ijoc...
arxiv.org/abs/2405.15431

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Working with messy data

#statstab #323 Counterfactuals and G-Computation

Thoughts: Even {emmeans} can do funky stuff for observational studies, if that is your fancy.

#gcomputation #counterfactuals #observational #R #emmeans #design

cran.r-project.org/web/packages...

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Welcome to our Employment Law Team’s March newsletter, edited by Joseph England, featuring analysis from Joseph, Gareth Grahan, Colin McDevitt and Matthew Curtis

#EmploymentLaw #StrikeOut #UnfairDismissal #MistakenBelief #RestrictiveCovenants #Counterfactuals

www.3pb.co.uk/newsletters/...

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Good discussion with my MSc students about what kind of movie #Oppenheimer would have been if Germany lost in 1941 and nuclear weapons use didn't become an urgent choice. Then about how technology and war drive each other today. #counterfactuals @rhulpir.bsky.social

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Brilliant. "The deep state": pre-emptive, risk-avoidance infrastructure - stupid people like Musk think "that's not productive therefore it's a waste of money".
Counterfactual thinking is hard.
"The deep state": making sure your kids don't get smallpox.
#Causalsky #Causality #Counterfactuals

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Leveraging a Simulator for Learning Causal Representations from Post-Treatment Covariates for CATE

Lokesh Nagalapatti, Pranava Singhal, Avishek Ghosh, Sunita Sarawagi

Action editor: Fredrik Johansson

https://openreview.net/forum?id=vmmgFW3ztz

#counterfactuals #counterfactual

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‘He who does not act does not exist’ - Gottfried WilhelmLeibniz

‘I think therefore I am’ -
René Descartes

‘Thinking is acting in an imaginary world’ - Konrad Lorenz

#AI #AGI #CausalAI #Counterfactuals #Neurosymbolics

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Following the success of Explainable AI in generating faithful and understandable explanations of complex ML models, there has been increasing attention on how the outcomes of Explainable AI can be systematically used to enable meaningful actions. These considerations are studied within the subfield of Actionable XAI. In particular, research questions relevant to this subfield include (1) what types of explanations are most helpful in enabling human experts to achieve more efficient and accurate decision-making, (2) how one can systematically improve the robustness and generalization ability of ML models or align them with human decision making and norms based on human feedback on explanations, (3) how to enable meaningful actioning of real-world systems via interpretable ML-based digital twins, and (4) how to evaluate and improve the quality of actions derived from XAI in an objective and reproducible manner. This special track will address both the technical and practical aspects of Actionable XAI. This includes the question of how to build highly informative explanations that form the basis for actionability, aiming for solutions that are interoperable with existing explanation techniques such as Shapley values, LRP or counterfactuals, and existing ML models. This special track will also cover the exploration of real-world use cases where these actions lead to improved outcomes.

Following the success of Explainable AI in generating faithful and understandable explanations of complex ML models, there has been increasing attention on how the outcomes of Explainable AI can be systematically used to enable meaningful actions. These considerations are studied within the subfield of Actionable XAI. In particular, research questions relevant to this subfield include (1) what types of explanations are most helpful in enabling human experts to achieve more efficient and accurate decision-making, (2) how one can systematically improve the robustness and generalization ability of ML models or align them with human decision making and norms based on human feedback on explanations, (3) how to enable meaningful actioning of real-world systems via interpretable ML-based digital twins, and (4) how to evaluate and improve the quality of actions derived from XAI in an objective and reproducible manner. This special track will address both the technical and practical aspects of Actionable XAI. This includes the question of how to build highly informative explanations that form the basis for actionability, aiming for solutions that are interoperable with existing explanation techniques such as Shapley values, LRP or counterfactuals, and existing ML models. This special track will also cover the exploration of real-world use cases where these actions lead to improved outcomes.

CALL FOR PAPERS: #𝗫𝗔𝗜20𝟮𝟱, 𝗦𝗽𝗲𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸: Actionable explainable AI. Submit your paper until February 15, 2025.

xaiworldconference.com/2025/actiona...

#XAI #LRP #counterfactuals #shapley #models #deeplearning #interpretability #decisionmaking @lorenzlinhardt.bsky.social @tuberlin.bsky.social

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Modeling Causal Mechanisms with Diffusion Models for Interventional and Counterfactual Queries

Patrick Chao, Patrick Blöbaum, Sapan Kirit Patel, Shiva Kasiviswanathan

Action editor: Varun Kanade

https://openreview.net/forum?id=EDHQDsqiSe

#counterfactuals #causal #causally

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✈️ Headed to #NeurIPS2024 Presenting our paper on "Model Reconstruction Using Counterfactual Explanations: A Perspective From Polytope Theory"
🎉 Wed 11 Dec 4:30 pm, Poster Session 2 East Exhibit Hall A-C #3303 #NeurIPS #XAI #Explainability #Privacy #Counterfactuals
Arxiv: arxiv.org/abs/2405.05369

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Our work introduces a benchmarking framework for counterfactual image generation, with diverse metrics, datasets, & causal models. Let's discuss how we can push this exciting field forward!

#NeurIPS2024 #GenerativeAI #Counterfactuals #CausalInference #AIResearch

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Benchmarking Counterfactual Image Generation We compare counterfactual image generation methods on a variety of datasets and metrics

We’ll be presenting it as a poster in Vancouver on December 11th! 🌟

💡 Meanwhile, check out our interactive demo: gulnazaki.github.io/counterfactu...

📄 Read our paper: arxiv.org/abs/2403.20287

Excited to share this work at NeurIPS 2024! 🚀

#Counterfactuals #NeurIPS #Benchmarking #CausalML

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People would understand #counterfactuals and g-computation if we renamed them "buyer's remorse simulator"

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