Italy GDP Outlook: Istat Forecasts Growth Through 2026 Istat predicts Italy’s GDP to rise by 0.6% in 2025 and 0.8% in 2026. Explore key data on domestic demand, inflation, and Transition 5.0.

INFLATION
Italy GDP Outlook: Istat Forecasts Growth Through 2026
cinquewnews.blogspot.com/2026/04/ital... #Inflation #ItalyGDP #EconomicOutlook #ISTAT #ItalianEconomy #GDPGrowth #EconomicForecast #Macroeconomics #DomesticDemand #EmploymentGrowth #InflationRate #EconomicTrends #EuropeEconomy #Fiscal

China Inflation Cools to 1.0% in March China CPI slowed to 1.0% YoY in March 2026; core CPI fell to 1.1% (NBS, Apr 10, 2026), pressuring domestic demand assumptions and prompting policy recalibration.

China Inflation Cools to 1.0% in March: China CPI slowed to 1.0% YoY in March 2026; core CPI fell to 1.1% (NBS, Apr 10, 2026), pressuring domestic demand assumptions and prompting policy recalibration. 👈 Read full analysis #ChinaInflation #CPI #EconomicTrends #MonetaryPolicy #DomesticDemand

China Services PMI Eases to 52.1; Domestic Demand Holds China services PMI slowed to 52.1 in March from 56.7 in Feb (Apr 3, 2026), signalling slower expansion with employment falling for a second month.

China Services PMI Eases to 52.1; Domestic Demand Holds: China services PMI slowed to 52.1 in March from 56.7 in Feb (Apr 3, 2026), signalling slower expansion with employment falling for a second month. 👈 Read full analysis #ChinaEconomy #PMI #ServicesSector #EconomicGrowth #DomesticDemand

Fabián Ruggeri Sees Signs of Recovery for Argentina’s Wine Industry as COVIAR Sets New Priorities Domestic demand remains central with up to three quarters of Argentine wine consumed at home.

Fabián Ruggeri Sees Signs of Recovery for Argentina’s Wine Industry as COVIAR Sets New Priorities #ArgentinaWine #WineIndustry #COVIAR #WineRecovery #DomesticDemand

China signals limited stimulus and only modest rebalancing Global events, including higher energy prices stemming from the Middle East crisis, are likely to exert upward pressure on inflation. However, the Work Report offered limited measures to stimulate domestic demand.

Global events, including higher energy prices stemming from the Middle East crisis, are likely to exert upward pressure on inflation. However, the Work Report offered limited measures to stimulate domestic… Bne IntelliNews #ChinaEconomy #StimulusPackage #Inflation #DomesticDemand #MiddleEastCrisis

Malaysia’s 2026 GDP Growth Seen At 4.5-4.7 Pct Driven By Domestic Demand, Export Growth KUALA LUMPUR, Feb 16 (Bernama) — Investment banks and research firms have revised or maintained their 2026 gross domestic product (GDP) forecasts to between 4.5 per cent and 4.7 per cent, driven by stronger domestic demand and export growth, as well as ongoing investment realisation. Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd said it maintained its 2026 GDP growth forecast at 4.5 per cent, with upside potential toward 5.0 per cent if current momentum holds, with domestic demand to anchor the growth, backed by firm labour-market conditions, rising household incomes and continued targeted aid. “The services sector, particularly tourism, should deliver a strong […]

Malaysia’s 2026 GDP Growth Seen At 4.5-4.7 Pct Driven By Domestic Demand, Export Growth #MalaysiaEconomy #GDPGrowth #EconomicForecast #DomesticDemand #ExportGrowth

Strong Domestic Demand Drives 6.3% GDP Growth, Highest in Three Years – PM PUTRAJAYA: Malaysia’s economy posted a robust 6.3 per cent growth in the fourth quarter of last year, marking the strongest quarterly performance in three years and surpassing earlier estimates, driven primarily by resilient domestic demand. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said the strong quarterly momentum lifted full-year 2025 GDP growth to 5.2 per cent, slightly higher …

Strong Domestic Demand Drives 6.3% GDP Growth, Highest in Three Years – PM #MalaysiaEconomy #GDPGrowth #EconomicDevelopment #PrimeMinister #DomesticDemand

Malaysia’s economy grew 6.3% in Q4, recording 5.2% for the whole of 2025 KUALA LUMPUR: The Malaysian economy grew strongly by 6.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 5.4 percent in the third quarter, driven mainly by robust domestic demand. Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) in a statement today announced that the growth was supported by increased household spending in line with positive labour market conditions and supportive income-related policies. According to the Central Bank, investment activity remained robust, driven by spending on machinery and equipment, particularly for data centres, as well as the continued implementation of multi-year projects by the private and public sectors. “In the external sector, exports continued […]

Malaysia’s economy grew 6.3% in Q4, recording 5.2% for the whole of 2025 #MalaysiaEconomy #EconomicGrowth #BankNegaraMalaysia #HouseholdSpending #DomesticDemand

Taiwan’s export surge powers standout growth as domestic demand lags Political deadlock has delayed approval of the 2026 budget, raising the risk that government spending will act as a drag rather than a boost to growth.

Political deadlock has delayed approval of the 2026 budget, raising the risk that government spending will act as a drag rather than a boost to growth. Bne IntelliNews #Taiwan #Exports #EconomicGrowth #DomesticDemand #Budget2026

Alta Langa Consortium Reports Over 10% Sales Surge, Surpassing Two Million Bottles in 2025 Strong domestic demand and new international recognition drive growth as vineyard area expands to 500 hectares across 149 municipalities

Alta Langa Consortium Reports Over 10% Sales Surge, Surpassing Two Million Bottles in 2025 #AltaLanga #WineSales #SalesGrowth #DomesticDemand #VineyardExpansion

Philippine growth slows sharply, but economists anticipate domestic demand to bounce back The Philippine economy lost momentum in the third quarter, recording a markedly weaker performance than analysts had anticipated.

The Philippine economy lost momentum in the third quarter, recording a markedly weaker performance than analysts had anticipated. Bne IntelliNews #PhilippineEconomy #EconomicGrowth #DomesticDemand #Philippines #Economists

6/8 India’s strengths: Robust domestic demand, ample rainfall for rabi crops, & falling food inflation benefiting lower-income groups. 🍎💧 GST rationalization also helping! #DomesticDemand #FoodInflation #GST

Click Subscribe. #Japan #Capex #Economy #Investment #DomesticDemand

2 CIBC: … broadly in line with the #BankofCanada July MPR forecast. #Exports slumped by 27%, eclipsing the more moderate 5% decline in #imports. #Domesticdemand, however, was actually fairly solid, rising by 3.5% following a downwardly revised 0.9% drop in Q1. 🧵
#BOC #cdnecon #Canada #tradewar

Thailand economy likely lost steam in second quarter on weak domestic demand: Reuters poll By Rahul Trivedi BENGALURU (Reuters) -Thailand’s economic growth likely slowed in the second quarter as weak household consumption offset gains from strong exports, according to a Reuters poll of economists. Southeast Asia’s second-largest economy was estimated to have expanded 2.5% year-on-year in the April-June quarter, the August 12-15 survey of 21 economists showed. Estimates ranged between 1.6% and 2.9%. The economy grew 3.1% in the first three months of 2025, and the government is scheduled to release the second-quarter data on August 18. On a quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted basis, gross domestic product (GDP) likely expanded 0.3%, a smaller poll sample showed, slowing from 0.7% in the first quarter. ANZ economist Krystal Tan said high-frequency data showed a recovery in private investment but it was probably offset by a deterioration in private consumption, while strong import growth kept contribution from net exports to overall growth modest. "We expect growth to weaken materially in the coming quarters as the impact of higher U.S. tariffs filters through. The tourism sector is struggling and is unlikely to provide offsetting support," she said. Exports, a key growth driver, recorded double-digit gains for all months except April in the first half of the year, as companies rushed shipments before higher U.S. tariffs came into effect. The United States was Thailand’s biggest export market last year, accounting for 18.3% of total shipments, with a value of $55 billion. Poon Panichpibool, a markets strategist at Krung Thai Bank, said domestic demand was weak, with high household debt and slowing foreign tourist arrivals weighing on consumption. Private consumption contracted in April and June on a month-on-month basis and ticked up slightly in May, Bank of Thailand (BOT) data showed. To prop up domestic demand, the central bank cut its key policy rate by 25 basis points to a three-year low of 1.50% on Wednesday. It was the fourth reduction in 10 months. BOT Assistant Governor Sakkapop Panyanukul said growth would moderate in the second half and stressed there was little risk of a technical recession, which is defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction. "We expect GDP growth to slow to 1.7% in the second half of 2025. Headwinds are piling up. Exports will slow as frontloading fades," said Erica Tay, director of macro research at Maybank. A separate Reuters poll in July forecast growth of 1.3% and 0.9% in Q3 and Q4, respectively.

Click Subscribe. #ThailandEconomy #EconomicGrowth #DomesticDemand #ReutersPoll #ThailandNews

China Is a Nation of Savers. Many Are Drowning in Debt.

China Is a Nation of Savers. Many Are Drowning in Debt.

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/06/b...

#china #debt #savings #spending #retail #consumption #trade #supplychain #DomesticDemand #demand

India’s cooling inflation prompts rate cut calls, raises concerns over weakening domestic demand By Swati Bhat MUMBAI (Reuters) -A slump in India’s retail inflation to six-year lows and a likely drop to a record low in July is prompting calls for at least one more interest rate cut this year, with many analysts saying the sharp disinflation is also a sign of weakening demand. The drop in June headline inflation is accompanied by low core inflation, which, excluding gold, silver and fuel prices, remains below 4%, suggesting softer underlying consumption which may need more support from monetary policy, analysts say. The Reserve Bank of India (NSE:BOI) cut interest rates by a deeper-than-expected 50 basis points (bps) at its last policy review in June but changed its stance to ’neutral’, signalling limited room to cut rates further. After Monday’s surprise inflation reading, however, analysts and markets are reflecting the rising possibility of more easing. Swap rates moved lower on Monday and Tuesday, suggesting bets on at least one more rate reduction ahead. Radhika Rao, an economist with DBS Bank, expects another 50 bps of cuts in the current easing cycle. "Considering the softness in incoming activity indicators (e.g. production, credit growth, auto sales), and below-projected inflation in the first half of fiscal 2026, the RBI monetary policy committee will be inclined to ease rates further," Rao said without giving a specific timeframe. The RBI’s next policy review is in early August, though analysts think it will wait for more data and clarity on the global trade war front before likely moving in September or October. Demand weakness is slowly starting to show up in indicators across sectors like autos and real estate. Car sales to dealers fell to a 18-month low in June, data showed on Tuesday. Meanwhile, home sales in India’s top seven cities fell 20% in the April-June quarter, real estate consultancy firm Anarock said in a report last month. "High frequency indicators continue to show moderation in urban consumption and tentative private capex," said Gaura Sen Gupta, chief economist at IDFC First Bank (NASDAQ:FRBA), who expects one more rate cut from the central bank in October or December. RATE HINTS India’s central bank expects inflation for the full year to be below 3.7%, Governor Sanjay Malhotra told CNBC TV-18 earlier in the day, adding that the monetary policy committee (MPC) will look at the inflation outlook, and not just current data, while deciding on further rate moves. In an interview with the Business Standard following the June policy decision, he had said room may open up if inflation runs lower than its projections. "With the RBI policy stance being at ’neutral’, it is difficult to think of a deep rate cut cycle from here," said Samiran Chakraborty, economist at Citi. "But we think the MPC will utilise the space that has opened because of the softer-than-expected CPI prints." In the April-June quarter, inflation averaged 2.7%, below the RBI’s forecast of 2.9%. Citi expects July’s inflation rate to fall to a record low of 1.1% and average inflation in the financial year 2025-26 of 3.2%, the lowest since 1990. URBAN DEMAND LAGGING Urban consumption in India began to slow last year, which economists attribute to weak wage growth and depleted household savings. Rural demand showed a recovery after a strong monsoon last year, but the pick-up has been inconsistent. Sales of two-wheel vehicles, one of the proxies for rural demand, saw a modest 4.7% increase in June but fell 12.5% month-on-month. Private investment has remained sluggish as well. Capacity utilisation has been stuck at around 75–76% for over a year — below the threshold that typically triggers new capital expenditures, economists said. Madhavi Arora, an economist with Emkay Global, said investment is unlikely to pick up immediately amid global trade uncertainties and a murky domestic demand outlook. "Broadly, the India growth story is stuck at around 6.0%-6.5% kind of range with the story being of missing private economic agents in India," she added. Government capex has picked up in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. But with the government already having announced tax cuts in the budget, most economists said the ability to provide further stimulus is limited from the fiscal side. "The space for fiscal policy to further support growth is limited with downside risk to tax collection and nominal GDP growth. Hence, monetary policy will have to continue to do the heavy lifting to support growth," IDFC’s Sen Gupta said. Don't miss out on the next big opportunity! Stay ahead of the curve with ProPicks AI – 6 model portfolios fueled by AI stock picks with a stellar performance this year... In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record. With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech Stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies. So if BOI is on your watchlist, it could be very wise to know whether or not it made the ProPicks AI lists.

Click Subscribe. #India #Inflation #RateCut #EconomicNews #DomesticDemand

Click Subscribe. #Japan #CorporateCapex #EconomicGrowth #DomesticDemand #Investing

1 CIBC: While headline #GDP growth in #Canada was solid in Q1, it was flattered by a surge in #exports as companies looked to front-run potential #US #tariffs. #Domesticdemand was weak during the quarter, and monthly data point towards only slight upward momentum heading into Q2.
🧵
#cdnecon

Why Korea’s Fiscal Stimulus No Longer Works—and What to Do Next Public spending is no longer enough. South Korea’s economy needs fiscal architecture built for velocity, retention, and systemic flow.

Public spending is no longer enough. South Korea’s economy needs fiscal architecture built for velocity, retention, and systemic flow. #KoreaEconomy #FiscalPolicy #DomesticDemand
breezeinflow.com/why-koreas-f...

Japan Q1 GDP likely contracted on soft domestic demand, import surge: Reuters poll By Satoshi Sugiyama TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s economy probably contracted for the first time in a year in the first quarter, weighed down by softer domestic demand and imports outperforming exports, a Reuters poll showed, as U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade policies dim the growth outlook. Real gross domestic product (GDP) is forecast to have contracted an annualised 0.2% in January-March, according to a median forecast of 15 economists. That would mark a significant cool down from the previous quarter’s 2.2% expansion and would be the first contraction since the first quarter last year. On a quarter-on-quarter basis before annualisation, the first-quarter growth rate was projected at -0.1%, compared with growth of 0.6% in the fourth quarter. Private consumption, which accounts for more than half Japan’s economic output, likely inched up 0.1% in the first quarter. Analysts say higher food costs are partly the reason consumers are holding back on spending. "The employment and income situation remains favourable, but consumer sentiment is weakening due to factors such as rising prices and increased thriftiness," said Shinichiro Kobayashi, principal economist at Mitsubishi UFJ (NYSE:MUFG) Research and Consulting. Capital expenditure was seen up 0.8%, attributed to upbeat corporate performances. External demand, or net exports, which means shipments minus imports, likely shaved 0.6 percentage off GDP growth. Exports were expected to have increased for the fourth consecutive quarter as businesses rushed to ship cars overseas before tariffs took effect. However, Kobayashi said imports probably increased more than exports, resulting in a net negative. The GDP data will be announced on May 16 at 8:50 a.m.(2350 GMT on May 15). The Bank of Japan on Thursday decided to keep interest rates steady and cut its growth forecasts, suggesting that uncertainty over U.S. tariffs and the hit to exports could keep policy in a holding pattern for some time. Rising trade tensions from Trump’s sweeping tariffs have sent shockwaves through markets and led to a sharp downgrade in the International Monetary Fund’s global growth forecasts.

Click Subscribe. #JapanEconomy #GDP #EconomicGrowth #DomesticDemand #ImportSurge

Italy’s economy holds up in first quarter thanks to domestic demand ROME (Reuters) -The Italian economy grew by 0.3% in the first quarter from the previous three months, preliminary data showed on Wednesday, a slightly stronger reading than expected thanks to positive domestic demand which offset a negative impact from trade flows. On a year-on-year basis, first quarter gross domestic product in the euro zone’s third largest economy was up 0.6%, national statistics bureau ISTAT said. A Reuters survey of 28 economists had forecast a 0.2% rise quarter-on-quarter and a 0.4% increase year-on-year. The data was greeted with relief by Giorgia Meloni’s government, which this month halved its full-year 2025 growth forecast to 0.6% from a 1.2% target set in September, amid mounting uncertainty due to U.S. trade tariff policy. Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti said Italy had performed "better than other European countries," in an apparent reference to France and Germany, without elaborating. Giorgetti said in a statement that the data showed Rome’s latest forecasts were reliable and also demonstrated "the effectiveness of the government’s economic policies." Germany, the euro zone’s largest economy, grew by 0.2% in the first quarter from the previous three months, while France, the bloc’s second-largest economy, reported a marginal GDP increase of 0.1%. Both readings were in line with analysts’ expectations. Italy’s ISTAT gave no numerical breakdown of components with its preliminary first quarter estimate but said industry and agriculture had expanded, while services had stagnated. The Bank of Italy has forecast Italian 2025 growth of just 0.5%, while the International Monetary Fund sees 0.4%. Growth came in at 0.7% in each of the last two years. ISTAT revised its previous data for the fourth quarter of last year to show a 0.2% quarter-on-quarter rise and a 0.5% year-on-year increase, previously reported at 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.6% annually. The statistics institute said the first quarter data provided a platform of 0.4% of so-called "acquired growth," indicating what the full-year 2025 growth rate would be if there were to be no quarterly growth over the rest of the year.

Click Subscribe. #ItalyEconomy #EconomicGrowth #DomesticDemand #Investing #MarketTrends

China urged to focus on bolstering domestic demand, especially consumption * Changes in global environment will be challenging for China * Reform measures are needed for boosting consumption * Incomes and confidence are crucial for boosting consumer demand The narrative is building on this front with many calling for Beijing to step up support, especially on services consumption. From last week: China economists urge Beijing to continue ramping up support for services consumption This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

| ctrendfx.com | bit.ly/CTrendFX1 #ChinaEconomy #DomesticDemand #ConsumerConfidence #EconomicReform #ServicesConsumption

5 BMO: The ultimate size and coverage of the #tariffs will determine the extent of the negative impact on #growth. But, keep in mind that they would be set against a backdrop of firming #domesticdemand in #Canada in areas like #housing and #consumerspending. 🧵
#trade #cdnecon