📉 Argentina Soybeans Prod Wghtd Precip – 2-Week Forecast🌱
Both ECMWF & GEFS are forecasting substantial below-normal precipitation for Argentina soybeans:
🔹 ECMWF: 87% of normal
🔹 GEFS: 69% of normal
Let's also take a look at the potential dry week 3 forecast, below!
#ECMWF #GEFS
#Corn and #Soybean prod wght precip for days 8-14 is similar between the #GEFS and #ECMWF, at ~25% and 18% of nrml, respectively. If this fcst verifies, precip levels will be close to nrml making current mkt discussions moot.
#agwx #oatt
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Ensemble #Matthew trk fcast for 00z model cycle: W shift in #EPS gives #FL 40-50% chance impact, under dispersive #GEFS w/ Op GFS offshore.
Ensembles can have too much/little spread. W/ complex pattern, #GEFS may exhibit deficient #Matthew trk sprd vs. #EPS. Maps via @alanbrammer
#GEFS has been spread deficient w/ #99L trk. Verification outside #GFS ens spread. #Euro #EPS has sufficient spread.
