📊 Oil at $111, Iran at the Strait, and a Jobs Report That Broke the Fed's Heart
Top Narratives:
• Geopolitical Risk: 16.6
• Energy Transition: 10.5

🔗 https://retic.uk/today
#NarrativeEconomics #Markets #GlobalMacro

This Week in Trend: 3rd April 2026 - ATS Trading Trend following weekly report. Metals bounce, grains surge, energy reverses. TTU Barometer pulls back to 55%. Full review.

This Week in Trend: Energy Explodes, Metals Surge, and Equities Reverse on Geopolitics and Tariff Shock | 3 April 2026

This week's full report is now live.
🔗 atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #GlobalMacro #TTUTrendBarometer

#eurozone selling price expectations saw a sharp rise in March, but so far only for #industry.
#inflation #oil #Iran
#ThinIceMacro #globalmacro

Resilience: world #exports vs #US effective #tariff rate

#ThinIceMacro #globalmacro

#NDX hasn't been this cheap vs #SPX since 2019

The full episode is here 👉https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0q3EvqKXU8s

#globalmacro #investing #MarketTalk
@Swissquote

Stunning performance of #China #exports since the #Trump #tariffs 👇
#ThinIceMacro #globalmacro

Global yields rebound pushing #SXXP #UKX #SPX #NDX futures, but I am NOT SURE the stress is over!

Find the full episode here 👉https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3vsmsfvmcGU

#Energycrisis #globalmacro

@swissquote.com

Global economy faces ‘major, major threat’ from Iran war, IEA head says The head of the International Energy Agency says the global economy faces a “major, major threat” because of the Iran war.

#OilShock #CrudeOil #OilPrices #EnergyCrisis #OilMarkets #InflationAlert #MarketStrategy #Commodities #GlobalMacro #Investing #VolatilityAhead #FuelPriceHike #PetrolPrice #DieselPrice #EnergySector #OilStocks #SupplyChain #OPEC
www.youtube.com/shorts/mssCx...
www.pbs.org/newshour/eco...

This Week in Trend: 27th March 2026 - ATS Trading Trend following weekly report. Metals bounce, grains surge, energy reverses. TTU Barometer pulls back to 55%. Full review.

This Week in Trend: Orange Juice Surges, Meats Lead, and Equities Continue Their Slide

Read the full report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #GlobalMacro #TTUTrendBarometer

BasisPointInsight.com - Markets Are Mispricing a Structural Geopolitical Regime Shift by Dhananjay Sinha Markets trade ceasefires and strikes, but miss the deeper shift. Fragmentation, defence spending, and oil risks are resetting global risk premia. by Dhananjay Sinha, BasisPointInsight.com

3/4 If oil is no longer a spike but a regime, and geopolitics a driver rather than a disruption, are markets mispricing the baseline?

#GlobalMacro #AssetPricing

No, too early to price out #IranWar‌

Full episode here 👉https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uyr_DtGEOBc

#spx #globalmacro #markettalk

BasisPointInsight.com - Quo Vadis the IMF? by Michael Debabrata Patra This essay questions whether the IMF’s evolving surveillance and labelling practices now undermine exchange-rate stability instead of safeguarding it. by Michael Debabrata Patra, BasisPointInsight.com

5/5 The piece raises a more pointed question.

Whether external surveillance, especially when backwards-looking and interpretative, should be allowed to define the narrative around a country’s currency.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐁𝐚𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐏𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭 𝐈𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭’𝐬 𝐅𝐗 𝐬𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐰 𝐥𝐢𝐯𝐞.👇

#GlobalMacro #CapitalFlows #RBI

#IranWar narrative is changing hands

Watch the full episode 👉https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuaTP7R51IQ

#globalmacro #energyshock #EnergyMarkets

@swissquote.com

This Week in Trend: 20th March 2026 - ATS Trading Trend following weekly report. Metals bounce, grains surge, energy reverses. TTU Barometer pulls back to 55%. Full review.

This Week in Trend: Energy Surges as Metals Collapse and Equities Slide Further

Access the full report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #GlobalMacro #TTUTrendBarometer

The China - US War Prevention Through Japan's Lens The Paradox of Strategic Autonomy in a Multi-Aligned Era

In time for PM Takaichi's visit to the US, we wrote a piece on the latest situation of Japan, facing both internal and external challenges. #geopolitics #globalmacro

pleromacapital.substack.com/p/the-china-...

BasisPointInsight.com - West Asia Shock Tests RBI’s Growth-First Playbook by Gaura Sen Gupta A dual oil supply and price shock may lift inflation and strain growth, forcing the RBI to rely on liquidity and signalling to keep conditions supportive. by Gaura Sen Gupta, BasisPointInsight.com

3/3 The real question is whether policy can stay growth-supportive without letting inflation expectations slip.

𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐆𝐚𝐮𝐫𝐚 𝐒𝐞𝐧 𝐆𝐮𝐩𝐭𝐚’𝐬 𝐜𝐨𝐥𝐮𝐦𝐧 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐁𝐚𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐏𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭: 𝐖𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐀𝐬𝐢𝐚 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐜𝐤 𝐓𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐬 𝐑𝐁𝐈’𝐬 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡-𝐅𝐢𝐫𝐬𝐭 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐛𝐨𝐨𝐤 👇

#GlobalMacro #EnergyMarkets #PolicySignal

ECB and Oil: Past to Present Market too hawkish

How #ECB has responded to #oil shocks in the past and what it means for now (incl. this week's #ECBmeeting). #Iran #inflation #energy #oilshock #Europe #centralbanks
#ThinIceMacro #globalmacro
open.substack.com/pub/thinicem...

This Week in Trend: 13th March 2026 - ATS Trading Trend following weekly report. Metals bounce, grains surge, energy reverses. TTU Barometer pulls back to 55%. Full review.

Energy Rules. Metals Retreat. The Barometer Holds Strong.

Read the report: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #GlobalMacro #TTUTrendBarometer

jinlow.substack.com/p/this-repor...
#Iran #IranIsraelWar #OperationEpicFury
#CrudeOil #WTI #Brent #Gold #Silver #CMEGroup #MarginCall #Commodities #FederalReserve #Stagflation #InterestRates #Inflation #Payrolls
#PrivateCredit #AIInfrastructure #NvidiaGPU
#GlobalMacro #Trading #Financial

📲 Start your three-month free trial until the end of May — no credit card required: ggma-app.com/sign-up
🍏 GGMA Squawk is also available on the iPhone: apps.apple.com/ch/ap...
#MacroRoadmap #GlobalMacro #GGMA

This Week in Trend: 6th March 2026 - ATS Trading Trend following weekly report. Metals bounce, grains surge, energy reverses. TTU Barometer pulls back to 55%. Full review.

Energy Erupts, Metals Reverse, and the Barometer Holds: This Week in Trend, 6th March 2026

Read the full breakdown here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #GlobalMacro #TTUTrendBarometer

The Case for a Historic Reallocation to Emerging Markets | Sony Kapoor Sony Kapoor on why global portfolios are dangerously overexposed to US assets, the generational opportunity in India, and whether AI will sustain American dominance or accelerate EM convergence.

12/ Full conversation with #DemetriKofinas on # HiddenForcesPod — link below.
We covered the dollar, India-China relations, the geopolitics of a multipolar world, and why the optimism you feel landing in Delhi is not just vibes.
hiddenforces.io/podcasts/the...

#EmergingMarkets #GlobalMacro #India

🛢️Fun fact on #US #economy and #oilprice spike👇
share of #gasoline and #energy in #US #consumer #spending at all-time low of 2% in Dec 2025 (latest PCE), equal to Jan 2002 and lower only during Covid (WTI 19$).
#FOMC
#Iran #war #oil #oilprice
#ThinIceMacro
#globalmacro

Briefing, BasisPoint Insight, Economy, Markets & Business - Daily Analysis & Opinion, India.

4/4 BasisPoint Briefing — Explainers from seasoned practitioners for readers who want more than the basics.

#GlobalMacro

BasisPointInsight.com - Gold Fantasies vs. Financial Reality: The Reserve Narrative That Doesn’t Add Up by R. Gurumurthy Claims of gold reclaiming a 1970s-style dominance in global reserves ignore today’s monetary reality, supply constraints, and the operational limits that keep hard currencies at the system’s core. by ...

Social media is buzzing with claims that gold will “mean revert” to 60–70% of global reserves, just like the 1970s, as the dollar supposedly fades.

Sounds compelling. The math doesn’t agree.

Read R Gurumurthy’s column for BasisPoint 👇

#Gold #CentralBanking #GlobalMacro

Steckt Japan in der Schuldenkrise? | Spyros Andreopoulos 🇺🇦 Die Situation in #Japan sieht brenzlich 🔥 aus. Der #Yen wertet ab 📉 und die #Renditen steigen 📈 weiter. Die Sitzung der #BankofJapan scheint zunächst für Stabilität gesorgt zu haben, aber von Ent...

www.linkedin.com/posts/spyros...

In 🇩🇪, a few thoughts on the situation in #Japan 🇯🇵 #JPY #JGB #BoJ #ThinIceMacro #globalmacro #econtwitter

BasisPointInsight.com - The Yen’s Regime Change from Monetary Tool to Fiscal Currency by Chandrika Soyantar Japan's yen transitions from interest-rate currency to fiscal barometer as central bank intermediation recedes and sovereign risk resurfaces by Chandrika Soyantar, BasisPointInsight.com

2/2 Even as yields rise, the currency weakens, because markets are no longer reading higher rates as reward, but as compensation for fiscal risk.

Read Chandrika Soyantar’s analysis for BasisPoint:
The Yen’s Regime Change from Monetary Tool to Fiscal Currency 👇

#Yen #FiscalDominance #GlobalMacro

The Systematic Investor SI382: The End of Globalization, the Rise of Trends ft. Richard Brennan – Traders Outpost In my recent conversation with Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, we stepped back from day-to-day market noise and looked at something more structural. The globalised world that compressed cycles, smoot…

The End of Globalization. The Return of Persistent Trends.

atstradingsolutions.com/the-systemat...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicInvesting #GlobalMacro #OutlierHunting

ECB Preview: Don't Mention the Hike A comms guide

“Just don’t mention the #hike.” My #comms guide for the #ECB meeting - see my latest #substack newsletter, sub is free 👇

open.substack.com/pub/thinicem...

#ECBmeeting #euro #EURUSD #ThinIceMacro #globalmacro

🇨🇳 China's economy is "standing still." Real estate remains the anchor dragging them down. Capital is rotating OUT of Shanghai and INTO Tokyo and Mumbai. The "ABC" strategy (Anything But China) is gaining momentum among institutions. ⛔🏭 #China #GlobalMacro #Investing