First of the dark money super PACs, Affordable Chicago Now! which went into #IL02 has filed its monthly report, which includes contributions from some big donors, and UDP, AIPAC's super PAC to the tune of $1.32 million
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/form...
This is why I will never use gambling/"prediction market" sites for serious political analysis. The prediction markets got it way wrong regarding the #ILSen, #IL02, and #IL07 primaries (the large swings towards the winning candidates were as actual election results were being reported).
In IL-02, Donna Miller won the Democratic primary to fill the seat vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly (D) as a result of her Senate run, besting ethics-challenged former Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. and progressive favorite Robert Peters.
#IL02 #ILPrimary
blockclubchicago.org/2026/03/17/d...
In #IL02, Wards 5, 9, 10 are big wards for Dem votes. Wards 4 & 7 are medium wards for Dem votes.
Kelly did slightly better in 5, 7, 9 & 10 than surrounding wards. But she didn't carry any of her own wards.
Also, Robin Kelly has significant #IL02 turf in Chicago wards. She didn't win one of those wards.
The progressives pushing Kelly should have ascertained she wasn't a particularly popular US Senate candidate within her own district.
When I looked at the suburban Cook results while returns were coming in... neither RK or RK put up impressive numbers in suburban Cook.
And I thought, suburban Cook is where the bulk of the #IL02 (RK) and #IL08 (RK) voters are.
As dust settles, biggest progressive L in Illinois last night looks like #IL02. Robert Peters is a serious, well-known progressive state senator who rallied onstage with Bernie at Chicago's "Fight Oligarchy" rally. Got 12% of the vote in a mostly working class seat.
Crypto-backed Fairshake & Protect Progress spent $14 million, but failed to stop Stratton in #ILSen or block La Shawn Ford in #IL07. Got their way in #IL02 & #IL08, though.
AI-funded Think Big spent $2.5 million, failed in #IL02 & won in #IL08.
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/what-happe...
AIPAC spent big in the Democratic primaries for 4 open, solidly blue districts.
Using a collection of super PACs, AIPAC succeeded in #IL02 & #IL08, but looks to have failed in #IL07 & wasted the most money in #IL09, where its choice finished 3rd.
Read: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/what-happe...
Pundit accountability time:
-I whiffed #IL08. Basically progressives didn’t think they could win, so they didn’t play until it was too late.
-If anything, I underestimated Biss.
-Nailed Ford
-Oh man, I sucked at #IL02
AIPAC managed to propel Donna Miller and Melissa Bean into the Democratic nominations for #IL02 and #IL08
Meanwhile, La Shawn Ford and Daniel Biss have secured the Democratic nominations for #IL07 and #IL09
Key #ILPrimary races (as of 9:45PM CDT, 03.17.2026):
#ILSen (D): Juliana Stratton won.
#IL08 (D): DINO Melissa Bean won.
#IL09 (D): Daniel Biss won.
#IL02 (D): Donna Miller won.
#ILComp (D): Margaret Croke and Karina Villa TCTC.
#IL07 (D): La Shawn Ford leading.
#IL13 (D): Nikki Budzinski won.
I didn't spend much time in #IL02 but nobody there thought Jesse Jr would win. TERRIBLE reputation and he made a newsy 11th hour criticism of Obama/Biden/Clinton for talking at his dad's funeral, which did not play well.
Congrats to gamblers I guess
🌟 BlueSky trending hashtags (1h):
#kidlitchat #bbb26 #art #nsfw #il07 #ffxiv #ffxivart #oc #il09 #epstein #il02 #vore #furryart #stpatricksday #epsteinfiles
OOOK, let's check in:
#IL02: Donna Miller has won. (Jesse Jackson Jr. second.)
#IL07: Ford up on Conyears-Ervin 23/20 (81% in).
#IL08: Bean up on Ahmed 32/26 (78% in)
#IL09: Biss up on Kat Abughazaleh 30/25.5 (82% in).
(^ AP revised the turnout estimate, hence the IL09 change.)
So Robin Kelly runs a longshot quixotic Senate campaign, comes in third in Illinois and gives way to an AIPAC-backed successor. #IL02 #ILSen
AP calls it for Donna Miller in #IL02
Why on earth did #IL02 have 10 candidates? 🙄
🔥 BlueSky trending hashtags (30m):
#kidlitchat #art #il07 #nsfw #oc #il09 #il02 #nintendoswitch2 #ffxiv #furry #stpatricksday #bbb26 #ffxivart #nintendoswitchonline #vore
🚀 BlueSky trending hashtags (15m):
#art #stpatricksday #il07 #kidlitchat #nsfw #trêsgraças #furry #bbb26 #oc #nsfwsky #vore #furryart #il02 #tcmparty #sobig
#furryart #gay #trêsgraças #il02 #ocsky #pokemon #nsfwbsky #gamedev #writestuff #twitch #realnsfw #digitalart #sobig #il07 #lcdlf6
free-chaturbate-cams.github.io/free-chaturb...
Not a bad showing for AIPAC either in #IL02 and #IL08. Ford looks like he has a decent lead against AIPAC-backed Conyears-Ervin in #IL07
First call of the night is in #IL02, where Donna Miller, a member of the Cook County Board of Commissioners, has easily won the Democratic primary.
Given the district's lean (Harris+33), she's now the overwhelming favorite to replace Rep. Robin Kelly in the House.
🚀 BlueSky trending hashtags (15m) #16-30:
#furryart #gay #trêsgraças #il02 #ocsky #pokemon #nsfwbsky #gamedev #writestuff #twitch #realnsfw #digitalart #sobig #il07 #lcdlf6
👇 #1-15 trending hashtags
In #IL02, it looks AIPAC's preferred candidate Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller has a clear win. Jesse Jackson Jr. is in a distant second
Miller: 23,121 (41.0%)
Jesse Jackson Jr. 16,320 (28.9%)
A lot more counted just 15 minutes... but the numbers are very stable.
#IL02: Miller up on Jackson, 41/29 (67% in).
#IL07: Ford up on Conyears-Ervin 23/19 (66% in).
#IL08: Bean up on Ahmed 33/25 (58% in)
#IL09: Biss up on Kat Abughazaleh 30/25 (87% in).
🔥 BlueSky trending hashtags (30m):
#il09 #nsfw #art #trêsgraças #photography #oc #il02 #furryart #il07 #abdl #paws4music #il08 #furry #voxweek2026 #diaperfur
🚀 BlueSky trending hashtags (15m):
#il09 #art #il02 #nsfw #il07 #il08 #oc #trêsgraças #wip #ableg #photography #abpoli #fanart #bbb26 #furryart
In Illinois 2nd Congressional District, AIPAC stooge Donna Miller has all but won over Jesse Jackson, Jr. with 61% of the vote in. AIPAC flooded the district with more than $3.3 million. #IL02
