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Mexico Import Duty 2026: India & China Hit With 50% Tariff | 1Tak Mexico Import Duty: Mexico imposes up to 50% import duty on India, China & other non-FTA countries from 2026, impacting automobiles, textiles, and electronics.

Mexico’s Decision: 50% Import Duty on India and China, Effective From 2026

#MexicoImportDuty #Mexico #IndiaMexicoTrade #India #ChinaMexicoTrade #China #MexicoEconomy #GlobalTrade #AutoTariffs #TradePolicy #Mexico2026 #ImportTariffs #Protectionism

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BofA forecasts 125bp rate cuts for Mexico through 2026, pause likely Investing.com - Bank of America expects Mexico’s central bank Banxico to implement a 25 basis point rate cut in September, according to a report released Monday. The financial institution forecasts a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts through year-end 2026, which would push Mexico’s benchmark interest rate down to 6.50% by the end of that period. BofA’s outlook is based on expectations that both headline and core inflation in Mexico will fall below 4% next year, driven by three key factors: weak economic activity with an already negative output gap, weak formal job creation, and a relatively strong Mexican peso. Despite the projected September cut, Bank of America indicates a pause in the rate-cutting cycle is likely in the near term before resuming the downward trajectory through 2026. The bank noted that the primary risk to its forecast would be even lower rates in 2026 than currently projected, suggesting the possibility of a more aggressive easing cycle than outlined in its base case. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. Most investors will find it hard to answer that question with total confidence. Short of a guarantee, which no one can give you, the most successful traders stick to proven best practices without letting hype or hyper-vigilance take over their better judgment. But that doesn't mean you can't use smart shortcuts. If you're considering BAC, try chatting with WarrenAI, our powerful AI financial assistant. It's just like ChatGPT for investors, but with access to 10 years of company data, a built-in screener, Wall Street analysts' reports, and earnings call transcripts for real-time, vetted insights. Even if you end up going with your gut feeling, at least you'll know why.

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Bank of Mexico hikes 2025 economic growth forecast to 0.6% MEXICO CITY (Reuters) -The Bank of Mexico raised its forecast for economic growth this year, predicting expansion of 0.6% this year compared to a previous estimate of 0.1%, the central bank said in its quarterly report on Friday. "The Mexican economy grew more than expected," Central Bank Governor Victoria Rodriguez said, noting the weak performance in the first quarter of the year and the contraction in fourth quarter of 2024. The central bank also raised its forecast for economic growth in 2026 to 1.1% from a prior estimate of 0.9%. But Banxico, as the central bank is known, also increased its prognosis for inflation. The bank now expects annual headline inflation in the fourth quarter to reach 3.7%, versus a prior forecast of 3.3%. Still, the bank maintained its estimate that headline inflation will coverage to its 3% target in the third quarter of 2026. Annual core inflation, which excludes some volatile goods and is considered a more reliable indicator, was revised upwards to 3.7% for the fourth quarter of the year, compared to bank’s earlier forecast of 3.4%. Earlier this month, Banxico in a divided vote cut its benchmark interest rate to 7.75%, bringing the rate to its lowest level in three years. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. The best opportunities often hide in plain sight—buried among thousands of stocks you'd never have time to research individually. That's why smart investors use our Stock Screener with 50+ predefined screens and 160+ customizable filters to surface hidden gems instantly. For example, the Piotroski's Picks method averages 23% annual returns by focusing on financial strength, and you can get it as a standalone screen. Momentum Masters catches stocks gaining serious traction, while Blue-Chip Bargains finds undervalued giants. With screens for dividends, growth, value, and more, you'll discover opportunities others miss. Our current favorite screen is Under $10/share, which is great for discovering stocks trading under $10 with recent price momentum showing some very impressive returns!

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Mexican President once again rejects US military intervention in drug war - Yes Punjab News Mexico’s President Sheinbaum rejects US military action on drug cartels, cites sovereignty; warns of declining remittances from US migrants.

Mexican President once again rejects US military intervention in drug war yespunjab.com?p=155171

#MexicoNews #ClaudiaSheinbaum #DrugCartels #USIntervention #Sovereignty #Remittances #MexicoEconomy #USMexicoRelations #MigrationPolicy #LatinAmerica #BreakingNews #MexicoUpdate

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Mexico’s headline inflation seen easing in July, core inflation still above target - Reuters Poll MEXICO CITY (Reuters) -Mexico’s headline inflation likely slowed in July, although the core index likely remained above the official target, supporting expectations the central bank will slow its pace of interest rate cuts later this week, Reuters poll showed on Monday. The median estimate from 13 analysts forecast headline inflation of 3.53% in the 12 months through July, which if confirmed would be its lowest reading since December 2020. For core inflation, considered a better parameter for measuring price trends because it eliminates highly volatile products, estimates indicate that it stood at 4.23%, slightly below June’s 4.24% but still above the Bank of Mexico’s target of 3%, plus or minus a percentage point. The central bank last month lowered its benchmark rate by half a percentage point, although the decision by the five-member board of governors was not unanimous, after Deputy Governor Jonathan Heath voted to leave it unchanged. According to the minutes from July’s meeting, all four officials who backed the cut — the fourth consecutive cut of that magnitude — said the board may adopt a more gradual approach in future decisions, as inflation shows signs of slowing and economic activity proceeds at a sluggish pace. Compared to the previous month, consumer prices are forecast to have risen by 0.28% in July, while for the core index an increase of 0.30% is expected, according to the survey. The official data will be released on Thursday, a few hours before the central bank’s rate decision. The central bank has cut its benchmark rate by 325 bps since early 2024 as part of a monetary easing cycle that began after the rate reached a record high of 11.25%. (Polling by Gabriel Burín in Buenos Aires; Written by Noé Torres and Benjamín Mejías Valencia, Editing by Alistair Bell)

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Mexico launches sustainable economic growth plan focusing on infrastructure and education Mexico outlines a roadmap for sustainable growth emphasizing infrastructure, strategic sectors, and education.

Mexico is unveiling a groundbreaking "Mexico Plan" aimed at sustainable economic growth, combining infrastructure development with cutting-edge education to reshape its future.

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#US #CitizenPortal #ClimateResilience #MexicoEconomy

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Citi maintains Mexico GDP growth forecast, sees stock picking rise Investing.com -- Citi provided a comprehensive outlook on Mexico’s economic and financial prospects for the upcoming years. The financial services company expects a modest 0.2% GDP growth for Mexico in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, Citi forecasts that the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) will maintain its year-end (YE) interest rate at 8% in 2025. Citi’s FX and Rates Strategy indicates a shift in the narrative surrounding tariffs, moving focus from the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) to broader global US trade deals. This shift is seen as supportive of the Mexican Peso (MXN). Citi maintains an overweight (OW) position in Mexican government bonds (Mbonos) within its Emerging Market (EM) Bond Portfolio, signaling continued value in Mexico’s rates. In the realm of credit strategy, Citi remains neutral on Mexican credit. However, when it comes to equity strategy, Citi has maintained its end-of-year 2025 target for the S&P/BMV IPC, a benchmark stock market index of the Mexican Stock Exchange, at 58,500 points. Furthermore, Citi introduced a mid-year 2026 target for the S&P IPC at 62,000 points. The firm suggests that stock picking is likely to become more prominent than index investing, referencing their May Most Valuable Picks (MVPs). Citi’s Quantitative Research places Mexico in the Contrarian quadrant, indicating a divergence from the consensus view. Within this framework, Banorte, a leading Mexican banking and financial services holding company, is highlighted as the highest-ranked stock based on a combination of value and momentum scores. This suggests that, according to Citi’s metrics, Banorte presents a compelling opportunity for investors considering individual stocks over broader market indices. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Bank Leaders Push USMCA Renegotiation to Save Mexico's Economy and Energy Sector - #WorldEye

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Mexico economy to barely grow this year thanks to US tariff shock - Reuters poll (Reuters) - Mexico’s economy will barely grow at all this year thanks to the U.S. tariff shock after standing on the brink of technical recession last quarter, a Reuters poll showed. Extreme uncertainty over U.S. President Donald Trump’s push to rearrange global trade is set to continue hurting private spending and investment in Latin America’s No.2 economy, analysts said. Worries are now centered on the potential impact of extra U.S. levies on car parts. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum is seeking to minimize the damage through negotiation as well as with support for local projects. Mexico’s gross domestic product is expected to increase just 0.2% this year, according to the median estimate of 32 economists polled April 21-25, a sharp 1 full percentage point downgrade from 1.2% seen in January’s poll. This forecast is far worse than the government’s rosy outlook of 1.5%-2.3% growth, but still above the International Monetary Fund’s view of a 0.3% contraction which prompted an official retort last week. Rodolfo Mitchell, Scotiabank (TSX:BNS)’s head economist for Mexico, noted the slowdown had started last year as markets reacted negatively to some government reforms and a weak fiscal position. "Furthermore, the arrival of Trump to the White House and his tariff policy have exacerbated downside risks related to growth," Mitchell added. "This has resulted in the expectation of economic contraction for 2025 due to stagnant investment, a contraction in production and a sharp slowdown in consumption." All 12 respondents who answered additional questions in the poll viewed risks to their 2025 GDP forecasts tilted to the downside. None saw chances of higher growth than expected. In a separate question on how U.S. tariffs had hit business sentiment in Mexico, six respondents chose the "negative" option (50% of total replies), five leaned towards "very negative" (42%), and one for "neutral" (8%). None answered "positive" or "very positive". The elevated ratio of very negative responses contrasted with results in a Brazil poll earlier this month, where only one of 21 analysts (5%) took an acutely pessimistic view. This reflected fears of direct effects on Mexico from the tariffs on top of concerns of worsening international conditions affecting all economies. Mexico probably avoided a technical recession by the tightest possible margin, logging no growth - but not a contraction - last quarter, according to a different Reuters weekly poll for a preliminary reading due this week. However, this consensus estimate for the country’s preliminary GDP data was more optimistic than a separate call of a 0.4% contraction for the final reading in the quarterly Reuters poll, which would confirm a recession. Analysts lifted their views for the preliminary figures following a good number for a leading indicator on Friday, but even if proved right, flash data could be reviewed to the downside in the final release. Mexico, along with Canada, was hit by a special 25% tariff related to uncontrolled migration and fentanyl traffic, plus 25% global duties on cars and metals. In addition, both face another global 25% levy on auto parts. As goods complying with the USMCA trade deal are excluded from Trump’s duties, the general effective tariff for Mexican products is 12.7% currently - much higher than just 0.2% in 2024, according to Banamex. To reduce that surcharge, some firms will probably try to increase so-called regional content, which would raise industrial costs in Mexico. Others are already shifting production to the U.S. at the expense of Mexican jobs. "It is up to Mexican companies to make the necessary changes to maintain and renew their participation in the U.S. market," Banamex said in a report last week. "Mexican authorities will have to facilitate this transition and maintain prudence in negotiations with the U.S. in light of the imminent renegotiation (which will no longer be a revision) of the USMCA." (Other stories from the Reuters global economic poll) (Reporting and polling by Gabriel Burin in Buenos Aires; additional reporting by Noe Torres in Mexico City; Editing by Ross Finley and Jan Harvey)

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Mexico’s economy shows slight contraction in March © Reuters. Investing.com -- Preliminary estimates from Mexico’s national statistics agency, INEGI, indicate that the country’s economy likely contracted by 0.2% in March compared to the same month in the previous year. This information was released by the agency on Tuesday. When compared to the month prior, however, economic activity remained steady. There was no change in economic activity from February to March, according to the agency’s report. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C. 0 Latest comments

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Mexico gov’t sees economy growing at least 1.5% in 2025, draft budget shows MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - Mexico’s government sees its economy growing between 1.5% and 2.3% this year, down from a prior estimate of 2.0% to 3.0%, a draft budget from the country’s finance ministry showed on Tuesday. The finance ministry’s growth forecast is rosier than estimates by the private sector and Mexico’s central bank and comes amid concerns that Mexico is on the precipice of a recession. The finance ministry forecast economic growth of between 1.5% and 2.5% in 2026. Latin America’s no. 2 economy, shaken in recent months by cooling investor confidence, U.S. tariff threats and a prolonged drought, shrank in the fourth quarter and again in January. A first-quarter contraction would plunge Mexico into a technical recession. For its part, the autonomous Bank of Mexico in February forecast the economy in 2025 could shrink by as much as 0.2% and expand as much as 1.4%. Tuesday’s budget document, which is used by lawmakers to plan future spending, also sees Mexico’s budget deficit between 3.9% and 4.0% this year before falling to a range between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026.

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BofA predicts Banxico to cut rates to 9% on March 27 Bank of America (BofA) analysts forecast that the Bank of Mexico, commonly known as Banxico, will likely reduce its policy rate by 50 basis points at the upcoming meeting on March 27. The cut would adjust the rate to 9.00%. BofA anticipates that the decision could be unanimous, but it acknowledges the possibility of a 4-1 vote. They also expect Banxico to maintain its current forward guidance. The rationale behind BofA’s expectation is based on several economic indicators. These include both headline and core inflation rates trending below 4.0%, and a negative output gap suggesting the economy is not operating at full capacity. Additionally, early data from the first quarter of 2025 indicates that Mexico may be experiencing a technical recession, further justifying a rate cut. Despite the anticipated reduction, BofA believes that Banxico will halt further cuts before reaching its neutral policy rate and maintain a restrictive monetary stance. This is due to headline inflation remaining over Banxico’s 3.0% target, long-term market inflation expectations also exceeding the target, and the assumption that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not adjust rates this year. Consequently, Banxico is expected to keep its policy restrictive despite the slowing economy. BofA’s analysts predict that the terminal rate will be set at 8.00%, which is above the neutral rate. This forecast hinges on the current economic deceleration, but BofA also acknowledges that there are risks to their prediction, including the possibility that the terminal rate could be adjusted downward if economic conditions worsen. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Mexico's moves not for economic/trade conflict - Claudia Sheinbaum #MexicoEconomy https://fefd.link/crtXq

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Mass Deportations Will Wreck Mexico's Economy, Economist Warns

Mass Deportations Will Wreck Mexico's Economy, Economist Warns

Experts estimate that Mexico will need to invest millions of dollars to provide care, food, housi...

#mexicoeconomy #massdeportations #migrantcrisis #economicimpact #socialjustice

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