Martin Barry stands smiling to the left of his poster. The poster is entitled "The predictive power of first recruits to commercial trial performance".
There is a lots of text on the poster. But the results section states "There was a highly significant effect of the time between opening (both site and trial) and first recruit on the probability of RTT (p<0.0001 for all analyses). This indicates that the longer it takes for a site to get its first recruit, the lower the chance of it recruiting to time and target.
Although there is a large amount of variability not explained by the model, it is of interest to consider how the fitted probability of RTT falls as time from site/study opening to first recruit increases. Figure 2 (left) shows this from the random effects logistic regression models. This indicates that if a site has not recruited a participant within 250 days, then its probability of RTT falls below 50%"
Members of our team are enjoying this week's RDF Conference in Manchester.
Martin Batty, Head of Oxford Health NHS FT R&D, presented his poster exploring whether the time to recruit the first participant to a commercial trial can predict the performance of the site in that study.
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