Decoding the 2025 Elections in Seattle and WA: An Insider's Analysis The strategists who saw it coming explain what pundits missed

Decoding the 2025 Elections in Seattle and WA: The Insiders' Analysis

The strategists who saw it coming explain what the pundits missed

#WAelex #SEAelex

Week in Review with Robert Cruickshank - Seattle Elects Progressive Mayor Katie Wilson Wilson's Path to Victory, Scandal Erodes Harrell Support, Progressive Sweep Across Seattle, Tax the Rich: A Winning Message, Seattle's Progressive Pragmatism, Challenges Ahead, Wilson's Strengths, Loo...

On this week-in-review, @finchfrii.bsky.social and @robertcruickshank.com discuss:

🤩 Katie Wilson elected mayor!
🌊 Progressive wave across region and state
👀 What to watch out for next
🏫 Role of The Stranger school board endorsements
⚔️ Looking forward to legislative session

#SEAelex #WAelex

Thursday, November 13th drop: Katie Wilson now leads Bruce Harrell by 2,018 votes.

Neither condition for a mandatory recount is satisfied anymore. There won't be a recount. Also, Harrell conceded today. He knows he's done.

#seaelex

11/13
Katie Wilson
138,673
50.20%

Bruce Harrell
136,655
49.47%

Seattle Times screenshot

Everyone's calling it!

#seaelex

There are only three per-precinct data drops for this election. The final drop is expected on November 26. #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

Turnout information for the November 2025 King County WA elections is here: public.tableau.com/app/profile/... #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

You can find interactive visualizations for all King County races in the November 2025 general election here: public.tableau.com/app/profile/... #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

In Seattle City Council's Position 9, incumbent Sara Nelson trailed challenger Dionne Foster by over 18,000 votes on election night. Foster now leads by over 50,000 votes. #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

Incumbent Seattle City Attorney Ann Davison trailed challenger Erika Evans by more than 28,000 votes on election night; Evans's lead is more than 70,000 votes in the mid-election data. #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

For King County Executive, Girmay Zahilay extended his election night lead; his opponent, Claudia Balducci, has conceded. #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

Disclosure: I provided analytical assistance to the Wilson campaign, although I did not donate money to the campaign and I did not actively solicit votes from the public. #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

Comparing election night to mid-election data, you can see that in most precincts, Wilson's vote share increased significantly in the later data drop. #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

Per-precinct mid-election data (through last Friday, Nov. 7) are now available for King County, WA's general election. In the race for Seattle mayor, Katie Wilson closed the gap to 4,300 votes. (Wilson has since taken a 1,976-vote lead.) #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

This puts the Seattle mayoral election outside of recount territory!

A recount is required when the race is within 2,000 votes AND 0.5%. Katie Wilson now leads Bruce Harrell by 0.72%. #waelex #SEAelex

BREAKING: November 12th drop in from King County Elections. Katie Wilson has grown her lead to 1,976 votes.

#seaelex

November 12th Seattle Mayoral Numbers

Katie Wilson
138,489
50.19%

Bruce Harrell
136,513
49.48%

Harrell will address voters tomorrow at a special event convened by his office.

Made some memes about the Seattle Mayor's Race....

#Seattle #SEAElex #SeattleElex #KCElex #WAElex

A graphic with a photo of Katie Wilson tinted in the same aqua blue color in the background. The text on the graphic are yellow and white, all mirroring her campaign's colors. The text says "Congratulations, Mayor-elect Katie Wilson"

Congratulations to our Mayor-elect, @wilsonforseattle.bsky.social!

#ThisIsOurCity

#Seattle #SEAElex #SeattleElex #KCElex #WAElex

T-2 hours to our social at Stoup Brewing, featuring tonight's MVP, @wilsonforseattle.bsky.social!

We'll see you there!

#Seattle #SEAElex #SeattleElex #KatieWilson #KatieWilsonForMayor

Original post on mastodon.gruezi.net

RE: mastodon.social/@43rddemocrats/115528246...

Seattle's Mayor-elect, Katie Wilson will be at our social tonight at Stoup, after KILLING it with over 60% of new ballots in today's drop!

Come by and celebrate with us!!! 🎉

#Seattle #SEAElex #SeattleElex #KatieWilson […]

BREAKING: King County Elections' Veterans Day drop is in. Katie Wilson now has a lead of 1,346 votes in the Seattle mayoral race.

Wilson is on track for a slim victory.

#seaelex

Katie Wilson
137,217
50.08%

Bruce Harrell
135,871
49.59%

Katie Wilson has taken the lead in the Seattle Mayoral race. #SeaElex #waelex election-results-01.kingcounty.gov/results.pdf

Excited about Katie Wilson pulling into the lead? Want to politick with others who care about our local elections?

Join us on Tuesday, November 11th from 6:30pm @ Stoup Brewing (1158 Broadway, Kid & Pet friendly) for our monthly social!

#Seattle #SEAElex #SeattlePol #SeattlePolitics #LocalPolitics

With today’s update, Katie Wilson now leads Bruce Harrell in the Seattle mayor race by 91 votes!

#SEAelex #WAelex

BREAKING: Katie Wilson has overtaken Bruce Harrell in the Seattle mayoral race.

#seaelex

Today's (Monday) drop:

Katie Wilson
133,469
49.83%

Bruce Harrell
133,378
49.79%

A graphic with pictures of panelists that says: HACKS & WONKS POST-PRIMARY ROUNDTABLE! LIVE: TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 11TH • 7:30PM PDT Stream via: Facebook @officialhacksandwonks | YouTube @hackswonks Featuring panelists: STEPHEN PAOLINI of Bottled Lightning Collective LEXI KOREN of PowerHouse Strategic CRYSTAL FINCHER of KVRU and Hacks & Wonks Host

Tune into the Hacks & Wonks Post-Election Roundtable for sharp political analysis of the elections with a panel of political consultants!

Hacks & Wonks Post-Election Roundtable
Tuesday, November 11th, 7:30-9:00p
Livestreaming on YouTube & Facebook

www.youtube.com/watch?v=kb_e... #WAelex #SEAelex

Bonus bonus viz: election-night vote share shift between Bruce Harrell and Katie Wilson, expressed as arrows. @katherinemitchell.bsky.social #seaElex #seattle #dataviz

Bonus election viz: here's how precincts shifted towards @wilsonforseattle.bsky.social (more orange) or away from Wilson (more blue) based on election night data, from the primary to the general election. Thanks @katherinemitchell.bsky.social for the suggestion! #seaElex #seattle #dataviz

Turnout information for the November 2025 King County WA elections is here: public.tableau.com/app/profile/... #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

You can find interactive visualizations for all King County races in the November 2025 general election here: public.tableau.com/app/profile/... #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz

In the race for King County Council's district 5, Steffanie Fain holds a roughly 1200-vote lead over Peter Kwon. #seaElex #waElex #seattle #SeaElection #electionViz #dataviz