Bei #AlleGegenPistor habe ich noch schnell den ersten Spieltag getippt. Viel Erfolg an alle, die teilnehmen! ⚽ #SoccerPredictor #NoGamblingPolicy #Bundesliga #BuLi #BaseOdds

ESP-FRA, averaged over bets in Alle Gegen Pistor: 68% for ESP wins, 22% for draw, 10% for FRA wins (all outcomes after 90 minutes).

Reproduced plot of the probabilities by the ELO-based model introduced in previous post. ESP wins: 40%, draw: 35%, FRA wins: 25%.

#SoccerPredictor for ESP-FRA, the first semi-final of #EURO2024.
#AlleGegenPistor "Tipptrend" (outcomes after 90 mins):
ESP wins: 68%, draw: 22%, FRA wins: 10%.
My model says: 40-35-20.
Betting on the difference? A draw might be more likely due to FRA's defensive focus. ⚽🔮 #EM2024 #NoGamblingPolicy

Probabilities by the model, for "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins". ESP-GER: 45-30-25. POR-FRA: 20-30-50.

🚨Did you place your bets for #EURO2024 in your friendly betting game? #NoGamblingPolicy 🚨
Here are the probabilities my ELO-based model gives today's matches, with outcomes after 90 minutes. ⚽📊
#EM2024 #SoccerPredictor

My current ranking in WDR's betting game Alle Gegen Pistor: I am close to rank 5000.

I will hope to climb some ranks in the WDR betting game #AllesGegenPistor during the quarter finals. Overall, I am happy about the performance of my ELO model (helped with a random number generator, and some gut feeling for the actual number of goals in a game) here.
#EURO2024 #NoGamblingPolicy

Probabilities given out by the ELO model described in previous posts. ROU wins: 15%, draw after 90 min: 30%, NED wins: 55%. AUT-TUR: 55-30-15.

#EURO2024: Today, the last matches in the round of 16 are being played.
Here are the probabilities my updated model is providing. "Draw" here means a draw after 90 mins.📊⚽
How are your bets in your friends / family / company game? #SoccerPredictor #EM2024 #NoGamblingPolicy

A list of probabilities for "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for EURO 2024's round of sixteen. SUI-ITA: 25-35-40; GER-DEN: 55-30-15; ENG-SVK: 70-20-10; ESP-GEO: 80-15-5; FRA-BEL: 55-30-15; POR-SVN: 60-25-15; ROU-NED: 10-25-65; AUT-TUR: 45-35-20.

Did you place bets in your friends / family / company #EURO2024 game?
Here are the probabilities my #ELO model has provided. 📊⚽
#SoccerPredictor #EM2024 #SoccerMath #NoGamblingPolicy

Probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for round 3 of EURO 2024, as calculated by my ELO model.

📊⚽For late people in the betting games, here are the probabilites my model has calculated for round 3 of #EURO2024.
ESP and POR are set on first places in Group B / F, and POL on fourth place in Group D. Still, every match matters. 👍 #NoGamblingPolicy #SoccerPredictor #EM2024