What really causes #recessions: former top #Trump White House economist share.google/ueTJ60mODJDK...
".... energy is one of those sectors that has generated, or has been subject to, a lot of shocks that then permeate the rest of the economy..."
A major reason why #JacqueFresco came up with the idea for a #ResourceBasedEconomy is so there can be an economic system without #recessions and #depressions. Meanwhile, there are those who prefer the current system where recessions and depressions are unavoidable.
#recession #trumprecession
The report said #Finland & the other Northern European countries’ steady ranking on top is related to a combination of wealth, its #equal distribution, having a #welfare state that protects people from the risks of #recessions, & a healthy life expectancy.
Finnish President Alexander Stubb […]
My latest article where I explore the connections between the yield curve, oil prices, and market performance.
Always trying to be ready before the move happens.
open.substack.com/pub/beforeth...
#marketAnalysis #recessions #marketCycles #macroinvesting #articles #macroeconomics #oil
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How Does the current U.S #recovery compare to prior #recessions? #econsky
“Even so, premature to predict a #global economic crisis. ( #OilPrices) now are roughly at Russia shock levels … That shock was ugly but didn’t cause #recessions in either the #US or #Europe.”
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How Does the current U.S #recovery compare to prior #recessions? #econsky
Why do #recessions hurt the #economy so much more than expansions help? In a new video, @hanbaeklee.bsky.social
@econcam.bsky.social explains 👇
#econtwitter
youtu.be/CvdI5TvjGCk?...
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How Does the current U.S #recovery compare to prior #recessions? #econsky
This image shows a figure titled Impulse Response Function: Government Spending Shock. Upper panel ρg = 0.9, bottom panel ρg = 0.2.
This paper finds that #publicspending is much more effective during #recessions, because more consumers live “hand-to-mouth,” making fiscal multipliers higher in downturns than in other periods.
Read: spkl.io/63325AW8p9
Subscribe: spkl.io/63327AW8pc
#EconSky
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How Does the current U.S #recovery compare to prior #recessions? #econsky
#Auto sales have always been the most #cyclical sector of consumer spending – heralding and contributing to both #recessions and recoveries, notes David Kelly #JPMorganAM
A major reason why #JacqueFresco came up with the idea for a #ResourceBasedEconomy is so there can be an economic system without #recessions and #depressions. Meanwhile, there are those who prefer the current system where recessions and depressions are unavoidable.
Again I say a major reason why #JacqueFresco came up with the idea for a #ResourceBasedEconomy is so there can be an economic system without #recessions and #depressions. Meanwhile, there are those who prefer the current system where recessions and depressions are #unavoidable.
#BREAKING
#US CONSUMER SENTIMENT FELL TO 50.3 POINTS IN OCTOBER, THE 2ND-LOWEST EVER.
IT IS NOW ~10 POINTS BELOW THE #FINANCIAL #CRISIS LOW AND BELOW ALL PREVIOUS #RECESSIONS.
While anecdotal, I provided you with facts on the ground from real
people who were/are being impacted.
I’m not an economist. However, I’m old enough to have seen a precursor or two to #recessions. We appear to be barrelling into a significant one.
No amount of C-suite spin changes facts IRL.
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How Does the current U.S #recovery compare to prior #recessions? #econsky
Some of what we saw last week being seen across staffing. It as an example, the job opening freefall seems to be leveling off. Job market still weak but any good news is helpful.
www.staffingindustry.com/editorial/it...
#jobs #recessions #tariffs
Well #republicans have been putting #America at risk since at least #GWBush. #katrina #911bombings #Iraq #Afghanistan #wars #terrorists #felon #POTUS #RFKjr #bankfailures #recessions #debt #felon
Removing #truth in #news. Not enforcing #ShermanAntiTrust. Setting up another #GreatDepression.
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How Does the current U.S #recovery compare to prior #recessions? #econsky
#Newsom #Blue #Democrats for jobs. #Republicans for #recessions
When you elect #Republican presidents, #Recessions are what you get! STOP believing their lies. Elect @TheDemocrats.
#lipstick 💄 effect: In 2020, a #research team explored whether lipstick purchasers in #recessions might be trying to “increase their attractiveness in order to find a mate” or boost their employment prospects, but concluded that they really just wanted a cheaper treat than clothes. buff.ly/S5bN2ii
Graph of monthly US unemployment and vacancy rates, April 1929-May 2025. The timely detection of recessions is critical for policymakers to make informed decisions. This column presents an algorithm for detecting recessions early using labour market data. By combining unemployment and vacancy rates, it shows that a less noisy signal can be obtained compared to relying on a single measure like industrial production. Current official prediction practices might benefit from greater emphasis on unemployment and vacancies, as the labour market is already sending an unambiguous signal of recession.
Pascal Michaillat presents an algorithm for detecting #recessions early using labour market data. By combining #unemployment rates and vacancy rates, it is less noisy than relying on a single measure like industrial production.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Now's a good time for those interested in #highered and #recessions to RT my OpEd about what we could expect in a Trump recession.
With @mikekofoed.bsky.social
Don't think it will play out like 2008 but since modded BBB passed, maybe not as bad as we thought.
insidehighered.com/opinion/views/…
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How Does the current U.S #recovery compare to prior #recessions? #econsky
How long do #recessions last?
📉 From 1855 to 2020, recessions averaged 17 months. In the 20th and 21st centuries, that average dropped to 14 months.
⏱️ The shortest recession was during the COVID-19 pandemic — just 2 months in early 2020. #DataViz
❓How many recessions has the US gone through? Since 1855, there have been 34 #recessions.
Spoiler: The longest one lasted more than 5 years. #Economy
usafacts.org/articles/wha...
