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SovEcon Raises Russian 2026 Wheat Production Forecast; Risks for Winter Crops Remain | The Sizov Report blog The forecast was revised up, reflecting better-than-average crop conditions, although the risk window remains ahead.

SovEcon Raises Russian 2026 #Wheat Production Forecast; Risks for Winter Crops Remain

Free note: blog.sizov.report/sovecon-rais...

#oatt #blacksea #agwx

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Argentina could finally see some rain…

But crop ratings have already dropped — and will likely keep sliding in the short term.

#corn #oatt #agwx #sizovreport

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It’s #TestimonialTuesday!

Hear from our clients at ClearAg about why weather forecasts are under-utilized in the agriculture industry, and how they can help improve margins.

#weather #wx #agwx #agriculture

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Russia & Global #grain market weekly, Dec 29-Jan 12:

* #Grain Rally Stalls After WASDE
* Russian January #Wheat Exports Seen Above Average
* Winter #Wheat Regions to Face Severe Cold Risk

Request a trial: sizov.report/reports/2853...

#oatt #agwx #sizovreport

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Register for our South America Grain Market Weather Webinar: bit.ly/CPDecemberWe...

🗓️ December 10th
⏰ 10:00 AM ET

What will be discussed?
• The impact of wx on grains in #Brazil & #Argentina
• Planted progress
• Drought status
• Wx fcsts and obs

#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather

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To date, Brazil’s #soybean planting pace is close to average at the national level.

What about the top 5 soybean producing states?
Mato Grosso: avg
Paraná: slightly above avg
Rio Grande do Sul: slightly above avg
Goiás: Below avg
Mato Grosso do Sul: avg

#oatt #AgWx #Brazil

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Over the past 30 days, Brazil #soybean regions have been substantially dry, with prod-wghtd precip only 82% of nrml. The 14-day AIFS, ECMWF, & GEFS fcst below nrml #Brazil soybean prod wghtd precip.

AIFS: 73% of nrml
ECMWF: 82% of nrml
GEFS: 63% of nrml

#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather

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Russian winter #wheat planting is lagging slightly but remains close to recent years. 🌾

More in our Crop Report: sizov.report?utm_campaign...

#oatt #agwx #sizovreport

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US Stocks Pull #Wheat & #Corn Prices Down WoW

#oatt #agwx

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While everyone is discussing the “huge Russian #wheat crop”, Siberia — with ~1 million ha still to harvest — is now facing early snow. ❄️

Losses are likely to exceed the usual.

More in our weekly note: sizov.report?utm_campaign...

#oatt #agwx

* below average in reality

Snow cover map:

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Despite extremely challenging weather in late 2024 and early 2025, the Russian #wheat crop is expected to be close to average — thanks in part to strong output in Siberia.

More: sizov.report?utm_campaign...

#oatt #agwx

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Southern Illinois has been extremely dry over the prior 30+ days.

The IL corn prod wghtd precip over the last 30 days is 25% of nrml...

County-level changes in the #corn yield expected value show sharp declines across southern Illinois.

#oatt #Agriculture #AgWeather #AgWx

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2025 US Corn Belt Precipitation vs 2024: Where It Differs 2025 US corn belt precipitation: compare 2025 vs 2024. Drier eastern corn belt; 30-day corn production-weighted totals, state ranks, July-Sept evolution.

2025 vs 2024 #Corn Belt precip: drier eastern corn belt and MO while a relatively wetter Upper Midwest.

30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.

See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...

#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather

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Russian #wheat export prices dipped below $230 last week 📉

More weakness ahead?

More: sizov.report?utm_campaign...

#oatt #agwx #sizovreport

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Our Grain Market Weather Webinar starts at 10:00 AM ET this morning!

Register for the webinar here before 10 AM: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...

#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Agriculture

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The eastern #Corn Belt has been extremely dry.

OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.

We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.

Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...

#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains

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#Wheat Declines WoW on Soft Russian FOB; #Corn Supported by Funds' Short Covering

#oatt #agwx

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The September Grain Market Wx Webinar is in 2 days.

Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...

What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.

#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn

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Punjab floods wipe out 30 percent of Pakistan’s wheat stocks, threaten food security – business leader | Independent Pakistan ISLAMABAD: Catastrophic floods in Pakistan’s eastern Punjab province have wiped out 30 percent of the country’s wheat stocks, a senior business leader said on Thursday, raising fears of food shortages...

Pakistan may have lost up to 30% of its #wheat stocks in Punjab due to recent floods.

🌾 Punjab is the country’s main wheat-producing region, accounting for ~80% of total output.

Big import program ahead?

#oatt #sizovreport #agwx

independent-pakistan.com/news/punjab-...

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Our last Grain Market Weather Webinar for this US growing season will take place on September 10th at 10 AM ET.

👉 Save your spot and register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...

#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Grains #Yield #WeatherRisk #Agriculture #GrainMarket #GrainTrader #Farmer

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CropProphet Forecast of the Forecast | Cooler Outlook Dominates Corn Belt | August 29th, 2025
CropProphet Forecast of the Forecast | Cooler Outlook Dominates Corn Belt | August 29th, 2025 YouTube video by CropProphet

The Forecast of the Forecast highlights what the ECMWF fcst will likely show before you walk into work on Tuesday morning.

➡️ Cooler-than-nrml temps likely from TX to ND
➡️ Dry bias holds across IL, IA & MS Valley

Watch the video here: youtu.be/uS9SStI0S94

#oatt #AgWx #Corn

@subletteweather.com

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Reach out today if our data and analysis can help your business succeed! (3/3)

#weather #wx #weatherrisk #energywx #agwx

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#Wheat Mixed WoW as Ample Global Supply Weighs; #Corn Higher Amid Good US Sales

#oatt #agwx #sizovreport

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There is still too much rain in the forecast for Central Russia and Siberia...not making any grain at this stage, but it could disrupt the spring #wheat harvest.

More in today’s report: sizov.report?utm_campaign...

#oatt #sizovreport #agwx

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Iowa: Slightly different story.

Weather→yield links after 50% silking are weaker; heat & precip signal are not as drastic vs IL/IN.

Analyze the weather impact on grains using CropProphet: bit.ly/TryCropProphet

#IAwx #agwx #corn #oatt #Grains #AgWeather #Yield #Agriculture

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Indiana: Similar to IL—post 50% silking heat = lower yields across 15–60-day windows. Precip is a weaker positive.

#INwx #agwx #corn #oatt #AgWeather #Grains #Yield

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Illinois: Hotter-than-normal max temps after 50% silking align with below-trend yields, and the signal strengthens through 60 days. Precip helps but heat dominates.

#ILwx #agwx #corn #oatt #AgWeather #Grains #Yield

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Post 50% silking weather risk isn’t the same everywhere. State graphics show IL & IN yields are highly heat-sensitive (30–60 days after 50% silking), while IA is less responsive.

For #grain markets: heat > precip. Thread👇

#oatt #AgWx #corn #CornBelt #AgWeather #Grains #Yield

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The ECMWF, GEFS, and AIFS-ENS are all fcstng US soybean growing regions to experience substantial below nrml precip over the next 2 weeks.

14-day US soybean prod wghtd fcst values:
• ECMWF: 64% of nrml
• GEFS: 55% of nrml
• AIFS-ENS: 59% of nrml

#oatt #Soybeans #AgWx #AIFS

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Corn yield deviation vs. accumulated Stress Degree Days (SDDs) since 50th pct silking.

• Some work has shown that > 140 SDDs results in yield declines

• As of now (green line), IL, IA, IN are well below that threshold.

#AgWx #Corn #oatt #AgWeather #Grains #Yield #oattrttt

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